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Companies issue state of the enterprise addresses, and presidents issue state of the union addresses ... but you've got to be pretty confident to address the state of the world. Luckily for us, Stratfor founder and CEO George Friedman is just that confident – and it's well-deserved. George...
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The developed world seems to be focused on Europe, and while the next crisis in indeed brewing there, we must not forget that Asia is a large part of the future and major contributor to world GDP. My friends at GaveKal are based in Hong Kong and have staff in most Asian countries or are in them on a...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Already Half Way Through a Lost Decade 2. Why is This Economic Recovery So Weak? 3. Where Does the Economy Go From Here? 4. The Debt Ceiling Battle Continues Already Halfway Through a Lost Decade When most people hear the term “Lost Decade,” they immediately think of Japan...
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........But first a word from our sponsor....... Hello currency trading. So long market risk. Discover the latest MarketSafe® CD from EverBank. It was created to help shield you from the volatility associated with currency trading. So now, for a limited time only, you have the unique opportunity to seek...
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I am in Minnesota this morning doing a speech, but do have a very good candidate for this week’s Outside the Box. Tony Boeckh just published a piece by George Magnus on demographics and the markets that I think is very thought-provoking. Demographics is something I think about a lot and you should...
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This, from Martin Wolf of the Financial Times , is the clearest and most succinct explanation of the financial crisis I have yet seen, completely accessible to the economically challenged. Well worth reading. The grasshoppers and the ants – a modern fable
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This week we visit an essay from an old friend of Outside the Box, Paul McCulley, the Managing Directpr of PIMCO. This is a speech he did at the Minsky Conference sponsored (I believe) by the Levy Institute. It was also the same speech he gave at my conference mid-April that was quite well received....
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Despite the rally in stocks and other risky assets since March 9, many portfolios are still damaged from the events of the last few years. For those who are retired or near retirement, one step you have to take after such an event is to re-evaluate your retirement plan, especially your spending. Specifically...
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Retirement Watch
by
Bob Carlson
on
09-03-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Carlson, Bob Carlson, retirement plan, retirement, financial crisis, retirement plans, stock, stocks, stock market, investments, portfolios, portfolio theory
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Paying off the mortgage used to be part of the American dream and a prerequisite to retirement. Then, times changed. Debt management and the use of leverage spread from businesses to personal finance. It was not unusual for people to enter retirement with mortgages and other debt with no plans to become...
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This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment...
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THE BIG PICTURE The key thought: History shows the economy can be bad and the stock market good! Understanding that one idea is key to making a logical decision about the stock market here. I tried to get this across at Elizabeth ’s 9 th birthday party to the family Saturday. The stock market is...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
08-03-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Investing Strategies, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Stock Market Lessons, Financial Crisis, Investor's Business Daily, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Capitalism, Big Picture, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Investor Psychology, 1932, Depression, America, Government, Big Picture View, IBD, Great Recession, depression within a depression, unfettered capitalism, The 1930s, 1932-1937, William O'Neil, clunkers for cash, President Bush, Obama Miracle
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SCHWARTZ RECESSION CONCLUSION . Tuesday, July 28 th , 2009 . Ok, after much consideration, here’s my conclusion as to what unfolds going forward. The economy struggles through but survives the next few years. About 20% of Americans have a very, very difficult time out of work and out of hope but...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-28-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Recession, Financial Crisis, Bear Market Legs, History, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, Bear Markets, Depression, Big Picture View, consumer retrenchment, Great Recession, depression within a depression
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Hedge funds used to occupy a small, obscure part of the investment world. They were out of the public eye; few investors even knew about them. Regulators ignored them, as a matter of law. Gradually hedge funds became more prominent. A few of the pioneers of the business became billionaires, drawing attention...
Posted to
Retirement Watch
by
Bob Carlson
on
07-23-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Carlson, Bob Carlson, financial crisis, stock, stock market, investments, market timing, modern portfolio theory, portfolio theory, market indicators, hedge funds
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Pilots have a saying, "Any landing you walk away from is a good landing." Even so, some landings are better than others, and pilots always strive for a smooth touchdown. A type of rough landing is call "porpoising." Instead of gently settling onto the runway, the wheels hit the runway...
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-06-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, Green Investing, GDP, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, Trades, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trading Rules, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, S&P 500, Credit Crunch, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Chart Patterns, Charts, Financial Discipline, Job Growth, Trade, Natural Resources, Government, Big Picture View, Theme, Oversold, Real Economy, Alexander Elder, Market Sectors, Dollar crisis, US Dollar Index, Visit of the Three Bears, CCI, Commodity Channel Index, Swing Trading, Oliver Perez