SCHWARTZ RECESSION CONCLUSION . Tuesday, July 28 th , 2009 . Ok, after much consideration, here’s my conclusion as to what unfolds going forward. The economy struggles through but survives the next few years. About 20% of Americans have a very, very difficult time out of work and out of hope but...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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07-28-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Recession, Financial Crisis, Bear Market Legs, History, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, Bear Markets, Depression, Big Picture View, consumer retrenchment, Great Recession, depression within a depression
ECONOMIC VIEW . Rising Inflation Expected . So predicts a whole slew of big names, everyone seems to be jumping on board this train in the last few days. Now Warren Buffett and Bill Gross have joined Marc Faber and Jim Rogers and more in predicting problematic inflation just out there over the horizon...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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03-11-2009
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Investing Strategies, Inflation, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, Jim Rogers, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Fixed Income, Recession, Investment Themes, Financial Crisis, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, History, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, Economics, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Rydex, Government, Change, Big Picture View, Short ETFs, Real Economy, Market Sectors, ETF, Exchange-traded fund, RTPIX, Marc Faber, Warren Buffett, RYJUX, William Gross, Dollar crisis, Bill Gross, RRPIX
THE BIG PICTURE Written Monday, September 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m.. What happened in Congress last Friday – House Republicans refusing to go along with the government’s rescue plan – was caused by political/economic ideology combined with Americans not wanting to bail out Wall Street....
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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09-29-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seasonal View, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Global Investing, The Fed, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Jim Rogers, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Recession, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Spin, History, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Congress, Big Picture, Henry Paulson, Credit Crisis, Sell in May & Go Away, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, America, Culture, Government, Business, US Housing Crisis, Real Economy
FEEDBACK LOOPS: A VICIOUS CYCLE . I’m slowly yellow-highlighting passages on every page of the little gem of a book I found at the annual New Paltz library sale: THE RETURN OF DEPRESSION ECONOMICS (1999) by Paul Krugman. For those of you who are students of economic history, ala my Principle of...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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08-12-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, Trends, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis
THE BIG PICTURE Ok, here’s a Big Picture of where America and we Americans stand today. A fairly downbeat Big Picture so buckle your seatbelts. America has been on the verge of a major comeuppance for many, many years. But its been postponed and postponed. Because the US dollar is the world’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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06-09-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Stagflation, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, The Fed, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Oil, Crashes, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Agricultural Commodities, Financial Crisis, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Industrial Economy, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Reflex Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, John McCain, Democracy, Capitalism, Real Estate, Robert Reich, Ben Bernanke, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Hyperinflation, Congress, Recession Depression, Peter Schiff, Heating Fuel, Big Picture
T HE BIG PICTURE : Written Monday, May 19th, 2008 Let’s make the three-pronged bullish Big Picture case this morning. About time, right? 1. The bullish argument starts with the assumption that the “worse financial crisis since the Great Depression” is behind us. Many Wall Street CEOs...
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Principles of the Stock Market
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Richard Schwartz
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05-20-2008
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Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Value View, Inflation, US Economy, Bullish Signs, Weekly Letter, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Recession, Globalization, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Understanding Value