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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. 4Q GDP Up Only 0.7% – Economy Started and Ended Weak 2. A Controversy Over GDP Growth Rate For All of 2015 3. Orders For Durable Goods Plunged Lower in December 4. Sub-3% GDP Growth: A Lost Decade For the US Economy 5. What We Could Do to Stimulate the Economy Now 6. Special Report...
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IN THIS ISSUE 1. 3Q GDP Report Disappoints, But Not All Bad News 2. Widespread Fears That America is on the “Wrong Track” 3. Editorial: “Is the Economy Really in Trouble? A Debate” 4. Conclusions: 2008 Was Not a Once-a-Century Kind of Storm Overview Today we’ll take a closer...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. 2Q GDP Report Was Better Than Expected at 3.9% 2. The Problem With How the Government Measures GDP 3. Janet Yellen’s Supposed “Flip-Flop” on Monetary Policy 4. Fed’s Latest Uncertainty Leads to More Turmoil in Stocks 5. Sunday’s Rare SuperMoon, BloodMoon...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Fed Reduces Economic Forecasts Through 2017 2. Could the Economic Outlook Be Even Worse? 3. US Household Net Worth Hits a Record High 4. Is the Economy Finally Turning the Corner? 5. 2Q GDP Report Due on Friday Expected to be Upbeat Overview The Fed’s policy committee announced...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. More Bad News Expected Tomorrow for 1Q GDP 2. Why Healthcare Spending Was Below Expectations 3. More Businesses Closing Than Starting Up, A First 4. Signs the Economy May Finally be Getting Traction 5. Second Quarter GDP Expected to Come in Strong 6. Texas Immigration Crisis: UPDATE...
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Yesterday morning the Commerce Department released its “advance” estimate of 1Q GDP, and it was quite the disappointment. According to this first estimate, the economy grew by a measly 0.1% (annual rate) in the 1Q. That was well below the pre-report consensus of 1.1% and well below the 2.6% in the 4Q...
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1. 4Q GDP Revised Lower, Not Surprisingly 2. US Consumer Confidence Fell in February 3. Housing & Manufacturing Took a Hit in January 4. President to Downsize Military, Smallest Army in 75 Years Overview Late last year, President Obama predicted that 2014 would see “breakout growth” in...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. 3Q GDP Surprise – Too Much Better Than Expected? 2. Why This Doesn’t Feel Like a 4.1% Economy 3. How Will the Fed Taper Going Forward? 4. Conclusions – Consumer Confidence is the Key Overview In today’s abbreviated holiday E-Letter, we’ll look at last Friday’s...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Two Key Economic Reports This Week 2. Household Income Continues to Decline 3. Worker Productivity Remains Below Trend 4. Over 27 Million Americans Under-Employed 5. The Latest (Illegal) IRS Attack on Non-Profits Overview Between 1999 and 2012, the typical US household lost over 9%...
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The first report on 3Q GDP came out this morning, and it was decidedly better than expected. The “advance” report from the government on 3Q GDP estimates that the economy grew by 2.8% (annual rate) last quarter, up from 2.5% in the 2Q. That was well above the pre-report consensus of only 1.9%-2.0%. The...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. About the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) 2. Major GDP Calculation Revisions Coming Tomorrow 3. Research & Development Becomes Capital Investment 4. Artistic Originals – Art, Movies, TV Shows, Books, Etc. 5. Changes Needed, But Can Be Tricky in Practice Overview Tomorrow...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. About the US Bureau of Economic Analysis 2. Major GDP Calculation Revisions Coming in July 3. Research & Development Becomes Capital Investment 4. Artistic Originals – Art, Movies, TV Shows, Books, Etc. 5. Changes Needed, But Can Be Tricky in Practice 6. Hanlon Investment...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Yes, Mr. President, There Is A Spending Problem! 2. Lots of Disgusting Pork In The Fiscal Cliff Bill 3. Another Debt Ceiling Battle Looms In February 4. Obama Could Resort To The 14 th Amendment 5. The Trillion Dollar Coin – Haven’t Heard About This? 6. “Continuing...
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The Problem with Dynamic Condition-Dependent Multipliers Measuring GDP The Economics of Assumptions Investing in an Uncertain World South America, New York, North Dakota, and Greece? “As far as the laws of mathematics refer to reality, they are not certain; and as far as they are certain, they...