September 26, 2008 Dear Readers, What a world I have returned to from my cloistered retreat at the beautiful Vivenda Miranda , scenically situated on a cliff outside of the quaint port town of Lagos, Portugal. Everything has changed. Everything is changing. The storm we have so long tried to help you...
Posted to
The Room
by
David Galland
on
09-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Economy, Presidential Race, Credit Crisis, Politics, Government, Gold, Ben Bernanke, Recession, The Fed, David Galland, McCain, Economic Forecast, Bailout, Henry Paulson, AIG, Ron Paul, Sara Palin, Donald Grove
IN THIS ISSUE: The Latest $700 Billion Bailout Package What Could Go Wrong? Potentially A Lot What Could Go Right, If We're Lucky? What Would Happen To The Profits, If Any? A "Main Street" Backlash To Come? Introduction Like it or not, members of the House and Senate, with the approval...
Posted to
Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
09-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Election Issues, Gary D. Halbert, The Fed, Credit Crisis, Subprime, Economic Forecast, Recession, U.S. Economy, Politics, Ben Bernanke, Depression, Bailout, Financial Crisis, Henry Paulson
IN THIS ISSUE: Largest Budget Deficit In History Coming In 2009 A Sobering Reminder From The Fed's Richard Fisher Deficits To Explode In Coming Decades Conclusions - Why No One Is Talking About This Introduction At the end of July, the White House announced its forecast for the federal budget deficit...
IN THIS ISSUE: Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged Again But Will Inflation Really Moderate? Stocks - Stuck In A Long-Term Sideways Pattern? Bad News For Millions Of Baby Boomers A Wall Street Myth About To Be Shattered? Avoiding Big Losses Is The Key, Maybe It's Time You Join Us The Bottom Line...
Introduction Today's Outside the Box is by my good friend and PIMCO's Managing Director, Paul McCulley. In his article "If Fed Funds Rate 'Fails' to Fall," Paul discusses the mindset behind the decision making of central banks and how they determine policy. From there he goes...
Introduction Last Friday, I wrote about That Stubborn Yield Curve in my Thoughts from the Frontline letter. In it, I quoted a few paragraphs by Pimco's Paul McCulley, but upon reflection, I feel that his whole letter is worthy of taking a look at more in-depth. Paul writes a monthly commentary, the...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
10-30-2006
Filed under:
Filed under: Housing, The Fed, GDP, Yield Curve, John Mauldin, Paul McCulley, Economic Forecast, Leverage, Inverted Yield Curve, Fed Funds Rate, Time-Varying
Introduction This week we will venture into the always hazardous area of making my semi-annual forecast. I make some non-consensus projections as to the economic climate for the next six months, and of course look at Fed policy. We will also quickly review my beginning of the year (2006) forecast and...
Introduction Once again it's time for me to demonstrate the foolhardy part of my nature by putting to electronic pen my forecast for 2006. I spend more research time on this one letter than on any four or five combined, simply reading hundreds of pages of research, looking at mountains of data all...