In This Issue: The Economy Continues to Improve Slowly Plunge in Commercial Real Estate Values More Trouble Ahead for the Banks Glut of Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities Personal: Thinking Wrong, But Getting It Right Introduction There is broad agreement that we have seen the worst of the recession...
IN THIS ISSUE: Editor's Notes On BCA & The Other Gary Halbert Obama & The New Age Of Big Government The Economy -- Have We Seen The Worst Of It? Are The Bailouts Necessary & Will They Work? The Latest Disappointing Economic Reports Stock Markets -- Might We Have Seen The Bottom? Introduction...
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Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
01-06-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Gary D. Halbert, GDP, Economic Forecast, Barack Obama, Politics, Bailout, Economy, Scotia Partners, Halbert Wealth Management, Financial Crisis, Deflation, Government, Bank Credit Analyst
This week we visit some very thoughtful analysis by an old friend of Outside the Box, Dr. John Hussman of the Hussman Funds ( http://www.hussmanfunds.com/index.html ). Is it 1932? Are we in a Depression? Where is the bottom? John gives us a very balanced view and actually offers some positive insight...
This week I have a very special Outside the Box for you. Peter Bernstein is recognized as one of the more brilliant and insightful analysts of our times. At 89, he has been writing prescient material longer than most of us "young guys" (I am 59, and hope I am still writing at 89, or even able...
Dear Readers, I have woken in the pre-dawn to find our direst predictions coming true, with global stock markets taking yet another pounding and U.S. stock futures limit down. Serving as a proxy for the mindset now gripping governments around the world, French President Sarkozy has announced that the...
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The Room
by
David Galland
on
10-27-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Economy, Interest Rates, International Speculator, Presidential Race, Credit Crisis, Politics, Gold, Dollar, China, David Galland, Economic Forecast, Taxes
September 26, 2008 Dear Readers, What a world I have returned to from my cloistered retreat at the beautiful Vivenda Miranda , scenically situated on a cliff outside of the quaint port town of Lagos, Portugal. Everything has changed. Everything is changing. The storm we have so long tried to help you...
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The Room
by
David Galland
on
09-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Economy, Presidential Race, Credit Crisis, Politics, Government, Gold, Ben Bernanke, Recession, The Fed, David Galland, McCain, Economic Forecast, Bailout, Henry Paulson, AIG, Ron Paul, Sara Palin, Donald Grove
IN THIS ISSUE: Details Of The Massive $700 Billion Bailout Government Guarantees Money Market Funds Will Congress Pass The Bailout Plan? Should The Government Bail Out Homeowners? Will Uncle Sam Overpay For The Assets? Credit Crisis May Tip The Election To Obama Time To Prepare For A Recession Just Ahead...
Posted to
Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
09-23-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Election Issues, Gary D. Halbert, Subprime, Economic Forecast, Presidential Election, Barack Obama, Ben Bernanke, Oil, Bailout, John McCain, Economy, Financial Crisis, Henry Paulson
Regular readers of Outside the Box will be familiar with Michael Lewitt's thoughtful commentary. Today, he reminds us that much of the turmoil we are in could have been avoided with proper regulatory structures and then does a very poignant analysis of various sectors of the economy. I agree with...
For the last few months in my regular letter I have been pounding the table that corporate earnings are going to decline this year, which is always a negative atmosphere for stocks. Since today is the beginning of the earnings season for the first quarter, I thought it would be helpful to look at this...
This week's Outside the Box is going to be a little different. I am going to write about the extraordinary action by the NY Fed to foster the Bear Stearns deal with JP Morgan, and give you three brief notes from Michael Lewitt of Harch Capital Management and Bob Eisenbeis (former executive vice-president...
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John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
03-17-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Inflation, Credit Crisis, Liquidity Crisis, Michael Lewitt, Economic Forecast, Recession, Interest Rates, Consumer Debt, Economy, Depression, JP Morgan, Bear Sterns