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In today’s Outside the Box , Scott Minerd, chief investment officer of Guggenheim Funds, regales us with the not-always-happy history of Keynesian economics – we did what he said when we had to, but not always when we should have. Shoving fiscal and monetary stimulus down the throat of a...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Worst Five Years Since the Great Depression 2. Half of Americans on the Edge of Financial Ruin 3. “Fiscal Cliff II” – Sequestration: Here We Go Again 4. Treasury Bond Bubble: Yields Jump 32%! 5. Bonds: It’s Not Too Late to Protect Yourself Overview Tonight, President...
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By Doug Casey, The Casey Report Nothing is cheap in today’s investment world. Because of the trillions of currency units that governments all over the world have created – and are continuing to create – financial assets are grossly overpriced. Stocks, bonds, property, commodities and...
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Global Home Price Comparison Lessons from the Forgotten Depression Resisting the Intervention Urge Chaining the Tiger More Difficult Than Timing the Market Quote of the week "Institutional equity investors fear missing out on the rally. Bond investors fear deflation and the stock market is way overdone...
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AN HISTORIC GURU VIEW . Written Friday morning, August 14 th , 2009 . Being in and around the stock market for the last 35 years -- I can’t believe it’s been that long! -- I’ve seen market gurus burn hot and cold. In my early years I was in more of a daze, doing ancillary brokerage...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
08-14-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Charting, Dow Theory, The Principle of Primary Trend, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Rallies, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Investor's Business Daily, Spin, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Reflex Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Depression, Change, Big Picture View, IBD, Robert Prechter, Alexander Elder, Marc Faber, depression within a depression, William O'Neil, Ted Warren, gurus, Ned Davis, Richard Russell, Elliott Wave, E. George Schaefer, Ralph N. Elliott, Ed Hyman, Wave 2, Joe Granville, A Gary Shilling, William Peter Hamilton, John Naisbitt, Stan Weinstein, Harry Schultz, Elaine Garzarelli, Norman Fosback, cyclical bear markets, Jim Dines, Papa Bear, Wave 3, Louis Navellier, Trader Vic Sperandeo, Megatrends, Dan Sullivan, Robert Rhea, Marty Zeig, Comstock, secular bear markets, Charles Dow
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THE BIG PICTURE The key thought: History shows the economy can be bad and the stock market good! Understanding that one idea is key to making a logical decision about the stock market here. I tried to get this across at Elizabeth ’s 9 th birthday party to the family Saturday. The stock market is...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
08-03-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Investing Strategies, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Stock Market Lessons, Financial Crisis, Investor's Business Daily, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Capitalism, Big Picture, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Investor Psychology, 1932, Depression, America, Government, Big Picture View, IBD, Great Recession, depression within a depression, unfettered capitalism, The 1930s, 1932-1937, William O'Neil, clunkers for cash, President Bush, Obama Miracle
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SCHWARTZ RECESSION CONCLUSION . Tuesday, July 28 th , 2009 . Ok, after much consideration, here’s my conclusion as to what unfolds going forward. The economy struggles through but survives the next few years. About 20% of Americans have a very, very difficult time out of work and out of hope but...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-28-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Recession, Financial Crisis, Bear Market Legs, History, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, Bear Markets, Depression, Big Picture View, consumer retrenchment, Great Recession, depression within a depression
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Dear Reader, In the June edition of The Casey Report , and again in the edition that was put to bed July 2, we warned that the U.S. equities markets were on the edge of the next leg down in the slow-motion crisis now unfolding. (You can read both issues... more here ). While there is no such thing as...
Posted to
The Room
by
David Galland
on
07-10-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Economy, commodities, Depression, Casey Research, Doug Casey, Deficit, Employment, Debt, California, CYCLE, State Budgets
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This week's Outside the box looks at some very interesting research done by two economic historians, Barry Eichengreen of the University of California at Berkeley and Kevin O'Rourke of Trinity College, Dublin They give us comparisons between the Great Depression and today's downturn. They...
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There is a debate in academic circles on the lessons of the current economic crisis. While most ivory tower debates are of little concern to our daily affairs, this debate should concern you, as it will inform those who hold central bank and political power. Remember, there is no playbook of rules for...
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Dear Reader, A quick comment is in order on the recent stock rally. While I could provide that comment, few people do the "dose of reality" thing better than my globetrotting partner and friend of many years, Doug Casey. Begging the forgiveness of our paying subscribers to The Casey Report...
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IN THIS ISSUE: David Henry On A New Bull Market Why Wall Street Needs A New Bull Make Half A Decision Introduction This week, I am off spending some time with my son, who is home from college for Spring Break. Since we live on the lake, I’m putting in a lot of time driving the boat while he and...
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This week's writer of the Outside the Box is no stranger to long time readers. Michael Lewitt writes the HCM Market Letter and is one of my favorite writers and truly deep thinkers. He has recently decided to turn his letter into a subscription based model and is meeting with some success, as he...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
03-09-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, Michael Lewitt, GDP, Global Economy, Government, Depression, Barack Obama, Economic Crisis, Economic Policy, General Motors, HCM Market Letter, DJIA, Bank Nationalization, Eastern Europe