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It's The Best of Times The Elements of Deflation It's More Than Half Full Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay What's a Fed to do? We get talk about tightening and taking away the easy credit, but we got the fourth largest monetization on record last week. This week we examine the elements of deflation...
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Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
10-23-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Employment, Inflation, Consumer Spending, Debt, Credit Crisis, Housing Crisis, Deflation, Jump Point, Bill Bonner, Tom Hayes, Daily Reckoning
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Killing the Goose What Were We Thinking? Let's Play Turn It Around Detroit, the Red Sox and the Yankees, and Traveling Too Much Peggy Noonan, maybe the most gifted essayist of our time, wrote a few weeks ago about the vague concern that many of us have that the monster looming up ahead of us has...
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GLOBAL VIEW . OK, HERE’S THE REAL BIG NEWS ! All the above is well and good but the key news was shown on the public broadcasting channel last night, on World Focus which runs at 6 pm my time (the old BBC news, now Americanized as World Focus). I purposely watched it last night to see how they...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-24-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, Geopolitics, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Deflation, Stock Market, US Government, The Cycles of America History, World Focus, war in Veit Nam, war in Afghanistan, first mover
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Elements of Deflation, Part 3 Outrageous! - Artificial Deflation! If You Are in a Hole, Stop Digging! The Hole in the FDIC How Can Just Four Stocks Be 40% of the NYSE Volume? New Orleans and a Mauldin Migration to Europe This week we continue to look at what powers the forces of deflation. As I continue...
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Elements of Deflation, Part 2 The Velocity Factor Y=MV Sir, I Have Not Yet Begun to Print There Are No Good Choices Washington DC, San Diego, and New Orleans, etc. Just as water is formed by the basic elements hydrogen and oxygen, deflation has its own fundamental components. Last week we started exploring...
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The Elements of Deflation The Failure of Economics The Super Trend Puzzle Final Demand and Income Unemployment Was NOT a Green Shoot Washington, DC, San Diego, and Johannesburg As every school child knows, water is formed by the two elements of hydrogen and oxygen in a very simple formula we all know...
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Today's offering for this week's Outside the Box starts off with a quote from Titus Maccius Plautus: "I am a rich man as long as I don't pay my creditors." Even 2200 years ago, it seems that problems of credit were an issue. I talked last Friday about the US being faced with a number...
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An Uncomfortable Choice What Were We Thinking? Frugality is the New Normal And Then We Face the Real Problem The Teenagers Are in Control Choose Wisely Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, New Orleans, Detroit, and More We have arrived at this particular economic moment in time by the choices we have made, which...
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GOLD’S GONE SOMNOLENT . Written August 28, 2009. The price of gold has gone so quiet, I post it on my wall charts each morning and then forget about it. So let me bring up, and verbally visulize for you, a longer range chart for perspective. REVIEWING . Ok, looking way, way back I see gold blowing...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
08-28-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Commodities, Economic Data, Bubbles, Commodity Bull Market, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, Trades, Deflation, Bull Market Corrections, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Bear Markets, Bullish on America, A Gary Shilling, Jim Dines, John Hussman
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Economics This Week’s Data Weekly mortgage applications rose 3.8%, the third increase in as many weeks. Weekly jobless claims were up slightly versus expectations that they would be down slightly (this article is short in length): http://www.calculatedriskblog...
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AN HISTORIC GURU VIEW . Written Friday morning, August 14 th , 2009 . Being in and around the stock market for the last 35 years -- I can’t believe it’s been that long! -- I’ve seen market gurus burn hot and cold. In my early years I was in more of a daze, doing ancillary brokerage...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
08-14-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Charting, Dow Theory, The Principle of Primary Trend, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Rallies, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Investor's Business Daily, Spin, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Reflex Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Depression, Change, Big Picture View, IBD, Robert Prechter, Alexander Elder, Marc Faber, depression within a depression, William O'Neil, Ted Warren, gurus, Ned Davis, Richard Russell, Elliott Wave, E. George Schaefer, Ralph N. Elliott, Ed Hyman, Wave 2, Joe Granville, A Gary Shilling, William Peter Hamilton, John Naisbitt, Stan Weinstein, Harry Schultz, Elaine Garzarelli, Norman Fosback, cyclical bear markets, Jim Dines, Papa Bear, Wave 3, Louis Navellier, Trader Vic Sperandeo, Megatrends, Dan Sullivan, Robert Rhea, Marty Zeig, Comstock, secular bear markets, Charles Dow
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This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment...
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www.profitscore.com An Update on Our Performance The Great Inflation/Deflation Debate Is Inflation Causing a Rippling Effect? Getting Real on Inflation... Paper Money Siren Song Fiat Money Time-bomb? Portfolio Performance Analysis The Idaho Back Country Over the next 20 years, you are going to see significant...
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There is a reason I call this column Outside the Box. I try to get material that forces us to think outside our normal comfort zones and challenges our common assumptions. I have made the comment more than once that is it unusual for two major bubbles to burst and for the conversation to be all about...
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John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
07-13-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Deflation, Japan, Dr. Lacy Hunt, Van Hoisington, GDP, Bonds, Economic Forecast, Velocity, Fiscal Policy, Economic Data, Debt, NBER
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There are those who sweat over every decision, worrying about how it will affect their lives and investments. Then there is the school of thought that we should focus on the big decisions. I am of the latter school. 85% of investment returns are a result of asset class allocations and only 15% come from...