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Secular Bull and Bear Markets It's Not the (Stupid) Economy The Consequences of a Credit Crisis The Dark Side of Deficits LA, Europe, Kansas City, and Houston In the pre-crisis days, I used to write about things like P/E ratios, secular bull and bear markets, valuations, and all of the things we...
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Long time Outside of the Box readers are familiar with John Hussman of the eponymous Hussman Funds. And once again he is my selection for this week's OTB. This week he touches on several topics, all of which I find interesting. As he notes: "We face two possible states of the world. One is a...
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It's The Best of Times The Elements of Deflation It's More Than Half Full Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay What's a Fed to do? We get talk about tightening and taking away the easy credit, but we got the fourth largest monetization on record last week. This week we examine the elements of deflation...
Posted to
Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
10-23-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Employment, Inflation, Consumer Spending, Debt, Credit Crisis, Housing Crisis, Deflation, Jump Point, Bill Bonner, Tom Hayes, Daily Reckoning
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We all know that a large wave of Baby Boomers in the US are approaching retirement. But what about the rest of the world? And what happens when those retirees need to spend out of savings? There is more than just a credit crisis and a government deficit crisis in our future. A rising level of retirrees...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
10-05-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, China, Banks, Niels Jensen, Absolute Return Partners, Europe, G20, Baby Boomers, Retirement, PIGS, Exports, Savings, Brazil, Population, BRIC
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This week we look at a number of charts of various parts of the credit markets to see what kind of progress is being made on getting back to "normal" or to a "new normal." And my friend Prieur du Plessis shows us there is reason to believe that we have seen the worst. "This too...
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Thoughts on the Continuing Crisis Dressing Like an Economist The Trend Is Your Friend Until the End of the Trend What Is Money? MV=PQ Newport Beach, Orlando, and Home Two weeks ago I presented my thoughts on the current economic situation at my 6 th Annual Strategic Investment Conference in La Jolla...
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This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
03-16-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, China, Housing Crisis, Deflation, GDP, Consumer Spending, Consumer Price Index, Household Wealth, Gary Shilling, Consumer Debt, Consumer Saving, Financial Regulation, Automotive Sector, Deleveraging, Employment, Baby Boomers, Retirement, Eastern Europe, Exports, Protectionism, Savings
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This week's writer of the Outside the Box is no stranger to long time readers. Michael Lewitt writes the HCM Market Letter and is one of my favorite writers and truly deep thinkers. He has recently decided to turn his letter into a subscription based model and is meeting with some success, as he...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
03-09-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, Michael Lewitt, GDP, Global Economy, Government, Depression, Barack Obama, Economic Crisis, Economic Policy, General Motors, HCM Market Letter, DJIA, Bank Nationalization, Eastern Europe
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This week we look at the European bank markets through the eyes of my London partner Niels Jensen, head of Absolute Return Partners. I continue to believe that this is a brewing crisis which could have far more significant implications for the global economy than the Asian Crisis of 1998. In this week's...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
03-02-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, GDP, Global Economy, Niels Jensen, Absolute Return Partners, Germany, Europe, European Banks, European Union, Austria, Public Debt
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I get a lot of newsletters from money managers around the country, which I try and read as they are written by people who are “in the trenches,” actually making decisions on behalf of their clients. It broadens my perspective. Frankly, most are not all that well written and unimaginative, but who ever...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
01-12-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, Politics, Consumer Debt, Government, Consumer Confidence, Bailout, Barack Obama, Baby Boomers, Economic Crisis, Investor Psychology, Retirement, Draughn Partners, Cliff Draughn
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This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
12-15-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: The Fed, Credit Crisis, Housing Crisis, Recession, The Dollar, Gary Shilling, Diversification, Consumer Debt, Depression, Monetary Policy, Financial Crisis, Consumer Confidence, Bank Failures, Bailout, Jobs, Commodities, TARP, Commercial Real Estate
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Leverage Is an 8 Letter Word If Loans Are So Cheap, Why Don't They Sell? Deflation and Helicopters: Time for a Review Commercial Property Loans Start to Haunt the Banks Warren Makes a Bet Thanksgiving, Moving, and New Orleans Leverage is an eight-letter word, which the markets now regard as twice...
Posted to
Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
11-21-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: The Fed, Ben Bernanke, Consumer Price Index, Credit, Warren Buffet, Credit Crisis, Housing Crisis, Deflation, Deleveraging, Commercial Property, Goldman Sachs
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Can the credit crisis get any worse? In this week's Outside the Box my London partner Niels Jensen shows that it indeed can. Banks, and mainly European banks, have large exposure to emerging market debt of all types through both sovereign, corporate and individual loans. Just as banks have had to...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
11-10-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: The Fed, Credit Crisis, Hedge Funds, Recession, The Dollar, Niels Jensen, Credit Default Swaps, Deleveraging, Absolute Return Partners, Yen, Europe, European Banks, Emerging Economies, Iceland
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Electing the Janitor-in-Chief Can't Borrow on Your Home? Whip out the Credit Card! Deficits as High as an Elephant's Eye Can You Count to 41? Chairs, Moving, and Tony Bennett This week we survey the economic landscape that the new president will inherit. It is a polite understatement to say that...
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The Psyche of the American Consumer The Consumer Weakens The Paradox of Thrift An Economic Blue Screen Of Death Those Wild And Crazy Analysts London, Stockholm, Malta, and Becoming a Grandfather This week I am in California giving two speeches to the Financial Planning Associations of San Diego and Orange...