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It's The Best of Times The Elements of Deflation It's More Than Half Full Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay What's a Fed to do? We get talk about tightening and taking away the easy credit, but we got the fourth largest monetization on record last week. This week we examine the elements of deflation...
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Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
10-23-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Employment, Inflation, Consumer Spending, Debt, Credit Crisis, Housing Crisis, Deflation, Jump Point, Bill Bonner, Tom Hayes, Daily Reckoning
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Dear Readers, In the March 6, 2009 edition of this missive/blog/column/whatever you want to call it, I listed three "Desperate Measures" the U.S. government might turn to next in its futile attempt to rearrange the ruined economy into something more resembling a perfect world. Suspend "mark...
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The Room
by
David Galland
on
04-03-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Interest Rates, Credit Crisis, Inflation, Gold, China, Bailout, Taxes, Bad Bank, International Monetary Fund, Mark to Market, G20, IMF
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ECONOMIC VIEW . Rising Inflation Expected . So predicts a whole slew of big names, everyone seems to be jumping on board this train in the last few days. Now Warren Buffett and Bill Gross have joined Marc Faber and Jim Rogers and more in predicting problematic inflation just out there over the horizon...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-11-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Investing Strategies, Inflation, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, Jim Rogers, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Fixed Income, Recession, Investment Themes, Financial Crisis, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, History, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, Economics, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Rydex, Government, Change, Big Picture View, Short ETFs, Real Economy, Market Sectors, ETF, Exchange-traded fund, RTPIX, Marc Faber, Warren Buffett, RYJUX, William Gross, Dollar crisis, Bill Gross, RRPIX
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... Gold and silver prices are down. For a simple and inexpensive way to own gold or silver, consider the non-FDIC insured Pooled Metals Select Account from EverBank®. This economic alternative to buying actual bars or coins lets you "pool"...
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Daily Pfennig
by
Chuck Butler
on
12-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Oil, Inflation, Commodities, China, Gold, Euro, Canada, Japan, Renminbi, Risk Aversion, Credit Crisis, Consumer Spending, Gaza
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Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Eighteenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz, New York 12561 - U.S. A. · (845) 255-6894...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
12-22-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Hedge, Inflation, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Emerging Markets, Recession, Rallies, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Financial Crisis, 1974, 1973, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Flight to Safety, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Hyperinflation, Big Picture, S&P 500, Credit Crunch, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Depression, Charts, BlackRock, Financial Discipline, Bullish on America, Job Growth, Foreign Oil Dependency, America, Government, Change, Lifestyle, Big Picture View, CNBC, Longs, US Government, Bob Doll, Real Economy
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THE BIG PICTURE Today’s Big Picture view revolves around the probable coming re-regulation of the financial markets. History shows regulation of markets is similar to a grandfather’s clock pendulum swinging back and forth although not as regular. A brief look back to the start of the 20 th...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
10-06-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Investing Strategies, Inflation, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Tops, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Deflation, Investment Themes, Globalization, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Understanding Value, 1974, 1973, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, History, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, Democracy, Capitalism, Hyperinflation, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Economics, Investor Psychology, 1932, 1929, Financial Discipline, Job Growth, America, Culture, Government, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Business, Theme, Regulation, Re-regulation
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This week I am in Maine on vacation with my son, and next week is my daughter Tiffani's wedding, so for the next two weeks I am going to send an updated version of a speech I have been giving the past few months on what I think is the likely potential for the rise of a brand new asset class. It is...
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By Bud Conrad Chief Economist, The Casey Report - Casey Research As investors, the question we have to focus most of our attention on just now is what impact the credit crisis, the bursting housing bubble and the actions of the U.S. government will have on the economy and investment markets in the next...
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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Principle of History. Two historical technical observations today: 1. Capitulation: Where the Heck is It? CNBC keeps interviewing floor traders and reporting from the New York Stock Exchange that everyone there is anxiously looking for that big bout of capitulation, selling, to end...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-16-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Inflation, Keys to the Market, Update On The Stock Market, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trends, Trend Reversals, Shake Outs, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Economics, Investor Psychology, Charts, Big Picture View, CNBC, Paul Volker, NYSE, Bank Panic of 1907
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Wednesda y, June 18 th , 2008 : Woke up singing this morning … “Doo-da, Doo-da”… and I don’t sing! Watched the coronation of the Boston Celtics as NBA champs last night … “Goin’ to run all night, Goin’ to run all day” … and loved this...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-18-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, The Big Picture, Recession, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Wednesday, June 11th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Today’s stock market has no real leadership. The Dow’s up, the Dow’s down, all day long. Yesterday it was more of the same. No real trend except for in ENERGY and GOLD , both selling off big time, sort of reversing...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-11-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Inflation, US Dollar, The Principle of Primary Trend, The Fed, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Federal Reserve, The Big Picture, Recession, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, Credit Crunch, Energy, Henry Paulson, Group of Eight, Credit Crisis, G-8
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This week in Outside the Box we take up a topic that should be on the top of the agenda of every regulatory authority, executives at financial services firms of all types, and average investors: How do we fix the credit markets to make sure we do not have such a crisis again? Good friend Michael Lewitt...
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This week's Outside the Box is from my friends at Hoisington Management. While somewhat technical, they make the case that a slowdown in consumer spending is inevitable. This is worth taking some time and thinking about. Quoting: "This means that consumer spending increases should be approximately...
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Thoughts on the Continuing Crisis If the Rules are Inconvenient, Change the Rules Let's Re-arrange the Deck Chairs Regulations Coming to a Hedge Fund Near You More Fun in the Unemployment Numbers A Muddle Through Recession How Much do we Borrow for a $1 growth in GDP? London, Switzerland and South...
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Dear Reader , I am writing to you in the pre-dawn from a soft chair in a Starbucks in Scottsdale, a vast improvement over the small desk in the cluttered toy room that I usually write you from on Fridays. 16 inches from my left hand is a "vente" (in the Starbucks' nomenclature, that means...