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THE FIRST INFLATION SURGE IN 25 YEARS IS OVER. So, what now? First, let me give credit when credit is due. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and the Fed finally got one right. They’ve been promising us moderating inflation for a year or more and now with -30% lower crude oil prices and a big...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-12-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Commodities, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, The Fed, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, History, Gold View, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Charts, Natural Gas, Boone Pickens, Natural Resources, Change, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis, Food, US Government, Robert Prechter
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TECHNICAL VIEW . The Principle of History. Two historical technical observations today: 1. Capitulation: Where the Heck is It? CNBC keeps interviewing floor traders and reporting from the New York Stock Exchange that everyone there is anxiously looking for that big bout of capitulation, selling, to end...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
07-16-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Inflation, Keys to the Market, Update On The Stock Market, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trends, Trend Reversals, Shake Outs, Energy, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Economics, Investor Psychology, Charts, Big Picture View, CNBC, Paul Volker, NYSE, Bank Panic of 1907
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WHERE YOU SHOULD STAND TODAY. The Ideal Portfolio (another Schwartz View ). Yep, let me offer up one man’s view of what the ideal portfolio should be today and why: · Very minimal exposure to the stock market! This major, modern day margin call on institutional investors is causing havoc...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-27-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Green Energy, China View, Gold, (GLD), Commodities, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Green Investing, (HOKU), (PLUG), (CHCHF), Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Papa Bears, Fixed Income, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Foreign Currencies, The Principle of Proper Money Management, The Principle of Understanding Value, Energy Conservation, Solar, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, OPEC, Gold View, GLD, SPDR Gold Trust, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, CPST, FSLR, BCON, WGOV, Energy Savings, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, 1932, 1929, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Fidelity Selects, Energy Sevice, Rydex
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ECONOMIC VIEW . One American’s View. Yep, Mine! With a bear market upon us, and myself and hopefully my readers all with hunkered down investment portfolios which thus don’t need constant care and attention, let me turn the spotlight on one American’s new travails, resulting views &...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-26-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, Economic Data, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Recession, Energy Conservation, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, Real Estate, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, Energy Savings, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Economics, Investor Psychology, Gas Prices, Tourism, Financial Discipline, Driving, Bullish on America
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THE BIG PICTURE Ok, here’s a Big Picture of where America and we Americans stand today. A fairly downbeat Big Picture so buckle your seatbelts. America has been on the verge of a major comeuppance for many, many years. But its been postponed and postponed. Because the US dollar is the world’s...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Stagflation, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, The Fed, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Oil, Crashes, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Agricultural Commodities, Financial Crisis, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Industrial Economy, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Reflex Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, John McCain, Democracy, Capitalism, Real Estate, Robert Reich, Ben Bernanke, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Hyperinflation, Congress, Recession Depression, Peter Schiff, Heating Fuel, Big Picture
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OIL VIEW . I’ve been reading a lot about oil, the current state and the history of oil as we see prices keep rising and we all wonder where a top is. So below are some interesting tidbits which I’ve unearthed from the Internet (a great modern day development!) for you to ponder, some obvious...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-29-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Value View, Stagflation, Commodities, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Geopolitics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, The Principle of History, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trend Reversals, Terrorism, Iraq, Iran, OPEC, History, Flight to Safety
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OIL NOW AT $130! What will be the resolution of today’s high oil prices? The best, first approach in analyzing anything is to look back at any historical parallels we can find. The two oil crises of the 1970’s pop immediately to mind. Thus I just printed out a few online histories, including...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-21-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, Commodities, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, Dow Transports, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Oil, The Principle of History, Deflation, Recession, Rising Wedge, Agricultural Commodities, AG, Globalization
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written, Tuesday, May 20th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. Another one of those turnaround stock market days yesterday. At 2 p.m. things looked great but then stocks reversed downward and by the close there were more stocks down than up on the NYSE , 1479 vs. 1681. While numerous sectors...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-20-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, 4-Day Rule, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Tops, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Trend Reversals
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LOOKING BACK : One major day-trading tenet is to look back at each trade & learn from both your successes & mistakes. This rule should apply to investing, speculating, everything. So let me do so today. THE SOFT AGRICULTURAL THEME . Yesterday I cleaned out my files and found when I first began...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-15-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Schwartz Rules, Perspective, Investment Themes, Trading Rules, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Day-Trading, Stock Market Lessons, AG
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THE BIG PICTURE & THE ECONOMY Today’s Big Picture view comes down to whether the US economy is going into a severe, long lasting recession or not. My belief remains that we are, that’s where today’s slow-motion economic slowdown is leading us, but the jury remains out & lots...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-12-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Soft Commodities, US Economy, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Recession
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UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Tuesday, April 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. The stock market has some uncertainty – there’s that awful word again – about tomorrow’s Federal Reserve 2:15 p.m. interest rate policy announcement. For the first time in a very long time, we’re not quite sure what the Fed is going to...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-29-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Soft Commodities, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Government Intervention, Elliott Wave Principle
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THE ECONOMY Whatever the stock market does next, it’s been in rally mode for the last month, the US economy continues to sputter and slide lower. I was assessing the latest economic data late last week, starting with housing, and recent developments continued to get worse, not better. In spite of US...
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THE REAL ECONOMY VS. THE PAPER ECONOMY The Real Economy . Oil at a record, rice too. Gold hitting $1000 an ounce, silver way up. Corn prices boosted by ethanol demand. Food riots in Haiti, Guatemala, Argentina and more. 24 countries dropping food import tariffs because they are seeing food shortages...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-16-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Soft Commodities, GDP, US Economy, Dow Transports, Economic Data, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Bubbles, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Global Trend
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SCAPEGOAT BLAMING . Boy, am I’m getting tired of the carping! Day after day, article after article. All these writers seem to think there’s something to gain in blaming former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan for the US housing bubble, the credit crisis, and in fact, all our problems. Listen,...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
04-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, Investing Strategies, Soft Commodities, Inflation, US Economy, Economic Data, The Fed, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend
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CHINA again and again. I write about China so much that I get bored with it. But China is the new global power and thus very important. Plus commodity advocate and long term perspective guru, who I haven’t seen call much wrong, Jim Rogers believes so strongly in China that he sold his NYC townhouse and...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
03-31-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, The Coming China Wars, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Global Investing, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Jim Rogers