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A quick introduction for this week's Outside the Box. This is from my London Partner Niels Jensen, talking about the problems with long only commodity funds. This is something I discuss frequently but have not written about in some time. Quite simply, many of the commodity ETFs do not deliver what...
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In This Issue: Warren Buffett's "Desert-Island Indicator" So what's the WBDII saying? Doing the stock-crude-trade polka Of bonds, stocks, commodities and the buck What does it all mean for markets ahead? Want more? Daily commentaries here... Last month, we examined the four major global...
Posted to
The Macro Market Monitor
by
Matt Blackman
on
10-20-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: intermarket relationships, China, high-priced stocks, Matt Blackman, Macro Market Monitor, Chinese stocks, housing stocks, Tradesystemguru.com, New Zealand dollar, Shanghai Composite, leading indicators, US dollar, gold, Japanese yen, Baltic Dry Index, Commodities, Railroads, Warren Buffett, Oil, Bonds, futures trading, forex trading
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... Gold and silver prices are down. For a simple and inexpensive way to own gold or silver, consider the non-FDIC insured Pooled Metals Select Account from EverBank®. This economic alternative to buying actual bars or coins lets you "pool"...
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Daily Pfennig
by
Chuck Butler
on
12-30-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Oil, Inflation, Commodities, China, Gold, Euro, Canada, Japan, Renminbi, Risk Aversion, Credit Crisis, Consumer Spending, Gaza
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COMMODITY VIEW . Oil Rally Begins. Elliott Wave theory, originally produced by R. N. Elliott in the early 1900s, and now carried forward by Bob Prechter, past #1 market guru, basically says Elliott waves or complete market movements come in threes. Well, to more accurate, Elliott says movements really...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
11-05-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, 4-Day Rule, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Elliott Wave Principle, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, Gasoline, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Crude Oil, Charts, Gas Prices, Driving, Energy Sevice, Boone Pickens, Demographics, heating bills
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THE FIRST INFLATION SURGE IN 25 YEARS IS OVER. So, what now? First, let me give credit when credit is due. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and the Fed finally got one right. They’ve been promising us moderating inflation for a year or more and now with -30% lower crude oil prices and a big...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
09-12-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Commodities, Investing Strategies, 50% Rule, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, The Fed, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Jim Rogers, Market Corrections, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Deflation, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, History, Gold View, Intermediate Corrections, Bull Market Corrections, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, Chart Patterns, Charts, Natural Gas, Boone Pickens, Natural Resources, Change, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis, Food, US Government, Robert Prechter
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... Announcing the FX University Seminar Series. It could open your portfolio to new horizons. Come learn from some of the world's authorities on foreign currency investing. The one-day seminar will take place in 8 cities across the nation this September...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... Announcing the FX University Seminar Series. It could open your portfolio to new horizons. Come learn from some of the world's most trusted authorities on foreign currency investing. The one-day seminar will take place in 8 cities across the nation...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... Announcing the FX University Seminar Series. It could open your portfolio to new horizons. Come learn from some of the world's most trusted authorities on foreign currency investing. The one-day seminar will take place in 8 cities across the nation...
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.........But First, A Word From Our Sponsor.......... Announcing the FX University Seminar Series. It could open your portfolio to new horizons. Come learn from some of the world's most trusted authorities on foreign currency investing. The one-day seminar will take place in 8 cities across the nation...
Posted to
Daily Pfennig
by
Chuck Butler
on
08-06-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Australia, Oil, Inflation, Commodities, Gold, European Central Bank, Canada, Bank of England, Interest Rates, The Fed, FOMC
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IN THIS ISSUE: The Energy “Blame Game” Commodities Gain In Popularity Are Speculators Driving Prices Higher? Merrill Lynch Study On Speculators In Oil Futures So What Is Driving Commodity Prices Higher? “Let’s Shoot The Speculators” – by Robert Samuelson My Own Thoughts On The Role Of Speculators Finally...
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WHERE YOU SHOULD STAND TODAY. The Ideal Portfolio (another Schwartz View ). Yep, let me offer up one man’s view of what the ideal portfolio should be today and why: · Very minimal exposure to the stock market! This major, modern day margin call on institutional investors is causing havoc...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-27-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Green Energy, China View, Gold, (GLD), Commodities, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Green Investing, (HOKU), (PLUG), (CHCHF), Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Papa Bears, Fixed Income, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Foreign Currencies, The Principle of Proper Money Management, The Principle of Understanding Value, Energy Conservation, Solar, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, OPEC, Gold View, GLD, SPDR Gold Trust, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, CPST, FSLR, BCON, WGOV, Energy Savings, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, 1932, 1929, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Fidelity Selects, Energy Sevice, Rydex
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THE BIG PICTURE Ok, here’s a Big Picture of where America and we Americans stand today. A fairly downbeat Big Picture so buckle your seatbelts. America has been on the verge of a major comeuppance for many, many years. But its been postponed and postponed. Because the US dollar is the world’s...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
06-09-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Stagflation, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, The Fed, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Oil, Crashes, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Agricultural Commodities, Financial Crisis, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Industrial Economy, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Reflex Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, John McCain, Democracy, Capitalism, Real Estate, Robert Reich, Ben Bernanke, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Hyperinflation, Congress, Recession Depression, Peter Schiff, Heating Fuel, Big Picture
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The Problem with the Euro Swapping out Commodities The Euro at Par with the Dollar Laguna Beach, Montreal and Las Vegas By John Mauldin Last week I wrote that we could see a drop in the price of oil as speculators seemed to be storing oil in very large tankers and "slow steaming" them to port...
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OIL VIEW . I’ve been reading a lot about oil, the current state and the history of oil as we see prices keep rising and we all wonder where a top is. So below are some interesting tidbits which I’ve unearthed from the Internet (a great modern day development!) for you to ponder, some obvious...
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Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-29-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Value View, Stagflation, Commodities, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Geopolitics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, The Principle of History, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trend Reversals, Terrorism, Iraq, Iran, OPEC, History, Flight to Safety
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OIL NOW AT $130! What will be the resolution of today’s high oil prices? The best, first approach in analyzing anything is to look back at any historical parallels we can find. The two oil crises of the 1970’s pop immediately to mind. Thus I just printed out a few online histories, including...
Posted to
Principles of the Stock Market
by
Richard Schwartz
on
05-21-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, Commodities, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, Dow Transports, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Oil, The Principle of History, Deflation, Recession, Rising Wedge, Agricultural Commodities, AG, Globalization