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We all know that a large wave of Baby Boomers in the US are approaching retirement. But what about the rest of the world? And what happens when those retirees need to spend out of savings? There is more than just a credit crisis and a government deficit crisis in our future. A rising level of retirrees...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
10-05-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, China, Banks, Niels Jensen, Absolute Return Partners, Europe, G20, Baby Boomers, Retirement, PIGS, Exports, Savings, Brazil, Population, BRIC
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This week I offer something unusual for outside the Box, in that I agree on almost all points with my friend David Rosenberg, except he tells it so much better than your humble analyst. David was the former Chief Economist at the former Merrill Lynch (ah, Mother Merrill, we barely knew ye.) and is now...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
07-27-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit, Consumer Spending, Asia, GDP Growth Rate, Stocks, Bond Market, David Rosenberg, Employment, Baby Boomers, DJIA, Home Sales, Recovery, Financials, Comsumer Confidence, Revenues
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Long time readers know that I am a huge fan of the work of Neil Howe. His book, The Fourth Turning , was one of the seminal pieces of my reading over the last 30 years. And it has turned out to be stunningly prophetic. Uncomfortably so. A roughly 80 year cycle has been repeating itself for centuries...
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The New, New Normal A Different Perspective on Health Care Staying Rich in the New Normal Eastern Europe, Maine and Tulsa We are coming to a critical inflection point, perhaps the most critical point that we have had in 70 years for the US and to a great extent the global economy. The choices we make...
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This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
03-16-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, China, Housing Crisis, Deflation, GDP, Consumer Spending, Consumer Price Index, Household Wealth, Gary Shilling, Consumer Debt, Consumer Saving, Financial Regulation, Automotive Sector, Deleveraging, Employment, Baby Boomers, Retirement, Eastern Europe, Exports, Protectionism, Savings
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I get a lot of newsletters from money managers around the country, which I try and read as they are written by people who are “in the trenches,” actually making decisions on behalf of their clients. It broadens my perspective. Frankly, most are not all that well written and unimaginative, but who ever...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
01-12-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit Crisis, Politics, Consumer Debt, Government, Consumer Confidence, Bailout, Barack Obama, Baby Boomers, Economic Crisis, Investor Psychology, Retirement, Draughn Partners, Cliff Draughn
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This week I have a special Outside the Box for you. My long-time friend Doug Casey wrote a very prescient piece back in 1997. He has updated it somewhat for today's times. The critical part is a summary of the work of Richard Strauss and (friend) John Howe and their book The Fourth Turning , which...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
12-29-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Economic Forecast, Doug Casey, Technology, Diversification, John Howe, Casey Research, Hari Seldon, Archetypes, The Fourth Turning, Richard Strauss, Baby Boomers, Economic Crisis
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The Rise of A New Asset Class, Part 2 Unrealistic Expectations The Boomers Break the Deal A Nation of Wal-Mart Greeters Weddings and 08-08-08 Last week's letter was the first part of a speech I have been giving on what I think will be the rise of a new asset class. This week will be the second and...
Posted to
Thoughts From The Frontline
by
John Mauldin
on
08-08-2008
Filed under:
Filed under: Social Security, Baby Boomers, GDP, Economic Forecast, Geopolitics, Stratfor, Muddle Through, George Friedman, Valuations, Georgia, Soviet Union
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Muddle Through Gets A Boost Honey, I Vaporized My Customers Consumer Spending is Going, Going...South The Boomers Break the Deal Today we drop back to take a look at the economy and its long term effect on our portfolio returns. I am in Orlando this week, speaking at the Newport Advisor Conference sponsored...
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Introduction This week we look at a very intriguing new book by good friend Andy Kessler called The End of Medicine , subtitled "How Silicon Valley (and Naked Mice) Will Reboot Your Doctor." As long-time readers know, Andy ran a high-tech hedge fund which went from $100 million to a $1 billion...
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Introduction "It seems like kicks just keep getting harder to find, All your kicks ain't bringing you peace of mind, Before you find out it's too late, You'd better get straight," - The Monkees Substitute the word "returns" for "kicks" in the classic Monkees...