In This Issue: The Future of Public Debt A Bit of Background Drastic Measures The Future Public Debt Trajectory Debt Projections Phoenix, Tokyo, and London This week I find myself in Bangkok, and I must admit to enjoying the experience a great deal, so much so that I am going to preview a portion of...
This week we look over the Pacific pond to China and Japan, in an interview with my friend Vitaliy Katsenelson by David Galland, who is the managing editor of The Casey Report. Vitaliy is the chief investment officer of Investment Management Associates, Inc., and author of Active Value Investing. Profiled...
This week we turn our eyes to Asia as my friend Louis Gave of GaveKal gives us a very thought-provoking piece on the problems of investing in Asia, with a focus on China. While there are real opportunities, Louis also sees some speed bumps. Those Asian ETFs may not be the winners a lot of people think...
Before we get to this week's Outside the Box, a quick note about my writing on Greece in last Saturday's letter. I made the point that if Greece defaults it does not necessarily mean they have to leave the EU, any more than if Illinois defaulted they would have to leave the United States. Greece...
Today I am speaking at a local conference here in Dallas for my friends Charles and Louis Gave of GaveKal along with George Friedman of Stratfor, and get to finally meet Anatole Kaletsky. They graciously allowed me to send their latest Five Corners report as this week's Outside the Box. I find their...
This week I offer something unusual for outside the Box, in that I agree on almost all points with my friend David Rosenberg, except he tells it so much better than your humble analyst. David was the former Chief Economist at the former Merrill Lynch (ah, Mother Merrill, we barely knew ye.) and is now...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
07-27-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Credit, Consumer Spending, Asia, GDP Growth Rate, Stocks, Bond Market, David Rosenberg, Employment, Baby Boomers, DJIA, Home Sales, Recovery, Financials, Comsumer Confidence, Revenues
I've been in this business a long time. Some days it feels like a very long time. But never in all the years that I've been in the financial markets have I felt like business per se has less impact on my investment decisions. Let me explain. GM shares have gone from being a claim on earnings...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
04-23-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Middle East, George Friedman, Stratfor, Credit, Geopolitics, Recession, Russia, Asia, Turkey, General Motors, Armenia, IMF, Jihadist War
A Mid-Year Correction Whatever Happened to Decoupling? The UK Starts to Slow A Recession by Any Other Name What's a Central Banker to Do? The old mantra was that if the United States sneezed, the rest of the world would catch a cold, as the US was seen as the main driver of world growth. That was...
Introduction The data from the companies which analyze where investors are putting their money tells us there is a lot of money flowing into international funds and especially Asia. This week's Outside the Box we look at a short but thoughtful piece by my good friend and partner Jon Sundt of Altegris...
Introduction We have been looking at the US trade deficit and the global trade imbalance for the past two weeks. It is currently an unsustainable trend, and thus will stop at some point. The questions are when and how? We will conclude this series today, looking at several ways the trade deficit could...