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Studying Similar Sharp Declines & Their Bottoms

The Principle of Understanding History & The Principle of Technical Analysis . Written Tuesday, October 7th, 2008 OK, yesterday I heard one analyst, I believe it was Liz Ann Sounders, chief investment strategist for Charles Schwab say the recent sharp...

Published Tue, Oct 10 2008 1:26 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Dow Theory, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Stock Market Lessons, 1974, 1973, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, History, Stock Market, Big Picture, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Charts, Big Picture View, Shorts, Short Selling
Strategy for a New Leg Down

TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Tuesday, September 16th, 2008 A New Bear Mark et Leg Down Likely Starting! Schwartz Strategy. Right at the close yesterday, the Dow Industrials dropped sharply going from -400 points down to -500 points down, closing at 10,917...

Published Tue, Sep 09 2008 9:18 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trading Rules, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Bear Market Legs, Stock Market, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, S&P Midcap, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Charts, Nasdaq Composite, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Rydex, Short ETFs, Short Selling, Real Economy
Potential Rally Remains on Tightrope

TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Friday, August 1st, 2008: 6:30 a.m. EST With the S&P 500 closing just above it’s week ago Wednesday’s close this past Wednesday and the Nasdaq Composite following suit, we have a series of higher lows and higher...

Published Fri, Aug 08 2008 8:49 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Charting, Bullish Signs, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Trading Rules, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Trading Volume, Distribution Days, Bear Market Rally, Shake Outs, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, Trendlines, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Charts, Trade, Big Picture View, Shorts, Follow-Through Day, Short Selling
Sample Monday Overview Letter

Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz...

Published Mon, Jun 06 2008 9:55 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Investing Strategies, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Gold View, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Big Picture, Energy, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Crude Oil, 1932, 1929, Bullish on America, Inverse Funds, Energy Sevice
Banks Breaking Down, Again

TECHNICAL VIEW . Banks Beginning a New Down Leg In Price? The next technical question is whether the banks are breaking down again. Into a new down leg. I see the KBW Bank Index dropped to a five year low yesterday. With many individual bank stocks in...

Published Wed, Jun 06 2008 8:43 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Distribution, Portfolio Strategy, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trends, KBW Bank Index, Cramer, Bear Market Rallies
Top of Bear Market Rally? Protect Yourselves!

Written Tuesday, May 27th, 2008 THE STOCK MARKET Briefly, the stock market pulled back sharply last week. Obviously this pullback may be about over and may be just a normal “shake out” on the way to higher prices. While that could be true...

Published Wed, May 05 2008 10:15 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Portfolio Strategy, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, Tops, Papa Bears, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, The Principle of Proper Money Management, MACD, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Stearns, Discounting Mechanism, Shake Outs, Reflex Rally
Both Trader Vic 4-Day Rules In Play

Technically, the market looks out of steam. Whether this latest two day fall back is the end of the bear market rally or just a normal “shake out” of weak holders on the way higher is open. Remember I thought the market had exhausted itself...

Published Thu, May 05 2008 9:15 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Keys to the Market, 4-Day Rule, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, Tops, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, 4-Day Corollary Rule, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo
1973-1974 Redux

The Principle of History. Knowing one’s history gives us guidelines and a basis to work from. So yesterday I began to compare the last Papa Bear market we lived through, 1973-1974, which encompassed the first really oil crisis, to today’s...

Published Thu, May 05 2008 9:09 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Stagflation, Inflation, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, 4-Day Rule, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Market Corrections, Tops, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Rising Wedge, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, 1974, 1973
Time Frame Strategies

PORTFOLIO STRATEGY: Monday, March10th, 2008 One Schwartz Rule that I’ve developed from my INVALUABLE day-trading experience of a couple years back is to SELL EARLY! , which led to the corollary rule to BUY EARLY! which has now morphed into the all purpose...

Published Wed, Mar 03 2008 1:29 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Shorting, Green Investing, Soft Commodities, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Schwartz Rules
Monday Weekly Letter: Full Sample

PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; Sept 18, 1990 Mon day, March 3 rd , 2008: Three people yesterday told me they were sick...

Published Mon, Mar 03 2008 8:20 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, ETFs, Shorting, Technical View, Green Energy, Value View, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, GDP, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Global Investing, Plunge Protection Team, The Fed, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Weekly Letter
Bear Market Rallies

Big Days Parsed. These big up days occurring during longer term market declines, i.e. bear markets, can start off fast or slow, on good news or bad, but then they gain ground as they day goes on. The situation is they come after substantial legs down...

Published Thu, Feb 02 2008 9:08 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Dowtrend Channels, Charting
Use Downtrend Channels For Trading

I’ve been talking about two possible stock market paths. Either a stock market stuck in a wide, 10% trading range (wide trading ranges are more indicative of a forming top than a consolidation on the way up). Or a break below the August lows and thus...

Published Fri, Jan 01 2008 8:42 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Dowtrend Channels

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