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Studying Similar Sharp Declines & Their Bottoms

The Principle of Understanding History & The Principle of Technical Analysis . Written Tuesday, October 7th, 2008 OK, yesterday I heard one analyst, I believe it was Liz Ann Sounders, chief investment strategist for Charles Schwab say the recent sharp...

Published Tue, Oct 10 2008 1:26 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Dow Theory, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Stock Market Lessons, 1974, 1973, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, History, Stock Market, Big Picture, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Charts, Big Picture View, Shorts, Short Selling
To Risk "Cleaning Out the System" or Not

THE BIG PICTURE Written Monday, September 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m.. What happened in Congress last Friday – House Republicans refusing to go along with the government’s rescue plan – was caused by political/economic ideology combined with...

Published Mon, Sep 09 2008 8:37 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seasonal View, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Global Investing, The Fed, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Jim Rogers, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Recession, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Spin, History, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Congress, Big Picture, Henry Paulson, Credit Crisis, Sell in May & Go Away, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, America, Culture, Government, Business, US Housing Crisis, Real Economy
Strategy for a New Leg Down

TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Tuesday, September 16th, 2008 A New Bear Mark et Leg Down Likely Starting! Schwartz Strategy. Right at the close yesterday, the Dow Industrials dropped sharply going from -400 points down to -500 points down, closing at 10,917...

Published Tue, Sep 09 2008 9:18 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trading Rules, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Bear Market Legs, Stock Market, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, S&P Midcap, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Charts, Nasdaq Composite, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Rydex, Short ETFs, Short Selling, Real Economy
September 2008 Investment Strategy

Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz...

Published Tue, Sep 09 2008 8:27 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Investing Strategies, Personal Remarks, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Investment Themes, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Stock Trader's Almanac, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Democracy, Capitalism, Big Picture, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Crude Oil, Foreign Oil Dependency, Change, Living Standards, Big Picture View, CNBC, Summer Rally
Understanding/Applying "Feedback Loops"

FEEDBACK LOOPS: A VICIOUS CYCLE . I’m slowly yellow-highlighting passages on every page of the little gem of a book I found at the annual New Paltz library sale: THE RETURN OF DEPRESSION ECONOMICS (1999) by Paul Krugman. For those of you who are...

Published Tue, Aug 08 2008 12:51 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, Trends, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis
Papa Bear Market Downside Target

THE STOCK MARKET Hope camouflaging a water torture, drip-by-drip decline is one way of describing today’s stock market. The big problem with all the bottom calling a few months back by Bob Doll, BlackRock’s “Trillion Dollar Man”...

Published Mon, Aug 08 2008 2:16 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, 1974, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Charts, Big Picture View, MAD MONEY, IBD, Bob Doll, Comstock Funds, Robert Prechter, heating bills, Papa Bear Mama Bear
Potential Rally Remains on Tightrope

TECHNICAL VIEW . Written Friday, August 1st, 2008: 6:30 a.m. EST With the S&P 500 closing just above it’s week ago Wednesday’s close this past Wednesday and the Nasdaq Composite following suit, we have a series of higher lows and higher...

Published Fri, Aug 08 2008 8:49 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Charting, Bullish Signs, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Market Corrections, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Trading Rules, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Trading Volume, Distribution Days, Bear Market Rally, Shake Outs, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, Trendlines, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, Charts, Trade, Big Picture View, Shorts, Follow-Through Day, Short Selling
Reasons For a Summer Rally

UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Wednesday, July 30th, 2008: 6:30 am EST. Another ‘ fl as hy - sp la sh y ’ rally yesterday So typical of bear markets, especially those with much further in time and points to go. Grizzly bear markets thrive...

Published Wed, Jul 07 2008 8:22 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Soverign Wealth Fund, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Daily Update, IBD 100 'New Names', 4-Day Rule, Historical Perspectve, Oil, The Principle of History, The Principle of Relative Strength, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, Trend Reversals, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Sequences, Investor's Business Daily, Spin, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Gasoline, Dow Industrials, Trendlines, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Bear Markets, Crude Oil, Gas Prices, Change, First Mover Advantage, IBD 100, Summer Rally, Merrill Lynch, Follow-Through Day, Theme, Food, US Government, CDO's, Short Selling, Temasek Holdings, Oversold, IBD
Monday Weekly Overview Sample Letter

Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz...

Published Mon, Jul 07 2008 8:19 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Alan Greenspan, US Economy, Socialism, Keys to the Market, Politics, Economic Data, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Interest Rates, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Fixed Income, Rallies, Investment Themes, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Spin, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, Europe, John McCain, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Big Picture, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, Energy, Economic Trends, Bear Markets, Economics, Crude Oil, Bullish on America, Energy Sevice, Foreign Oil Dependency, Bureaucracy, America, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Lobbying, Business, CNBC, Longs, Profit, Summer Rally, Income Investors, National Bureau of Economic Research, Barak Obama
Summer Rally Ahead?

TECHNICAL VIEW . Summer R ally Ahead Or Not? Now is the time for all good men and women to watch the key stock market indices very closely! We have a possible bottom in place (if it is a bottom I have to believe it’s a temporary one). Yep, after...

Published Fri, Jul 07 2008 8:44 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Bullish Signs, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Daily Update, Market Corrections, Trades, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Trading Rules, Trends, Day-Trading, Stock Market Lessons, UPtrend Channels, Stock Trader's Almanac, Bear Market Rally, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, Dow Industrials, Bear Markets, Big Picture View, Summer Rally
Stock Market Strategy: 6:30 am EST, Thursday, July 17th, 2008

STRATEGY VIEW . This morning please let me warn a bit further about using inverse vehicles. Appropriate because yesterday’s big rally must have gotten everyone’s attention, longs and shorts alike, but especially those now using these shorting...

Published Thu, Jul 07 2008 8:55 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, ETFs, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Hedge, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Portfolio Strategy, Extended Bear Markets, Market Corrections, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Relative Strength, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Financial Discipline, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Fidelity Selects, Rydex, Big Picture View, Model Portfolios, Short ETFs, Shorts, Longs
Portfolio Strategy: Monday, July 14th, 2008

PORTFOLIO STRATEGY This year’s mid-March to mid-May bear market rally was the first rally versus the new primary bear market downtrend. Usually the first rally is the best rally (just like the first loss is the best loss) because many investors...

Published Mon, Jul 07 2008 8:34 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Stearns, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market
Sample Monday Overview Letter

Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz...

Published Mon, Jun 06 2008 9:55 AM by