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Studying Similar Sharp Declines & Their Bottoms

The Principle of Understanding History & The Principle of Technical Analysis . Written Tuesday, October 7th, 2008 OK, yesterday I heard one analyst, I believe it was Liz Ann Sounders, chief investment strategist for Charles Schwab say the recent sharp...

Published Tue, Oct 10 2008 1:26 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Shorting, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Charting, Dow Theory, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Stock Market Lessons, 1974, 1973, Recessions, Bear Market Legs, History, Stock Market, Big Picture, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Charts, Big Picture View, Shorts, Short Selling

To Risk "Cleaning Out the System" or Not

THE BIG PICTURE Written Monday, September 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m.. What happened in Congress last Friday – House Republicans refusing to go along with the government’s rescue plan – was caused by political/economic ideology combined with...

Published Mon, Sep 09 2008 8:37 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seasonal View, US Economy, Socialism, Politics, Global Investing, The Fed, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Jim Rogers, The Principle of History, Government Intervention, The Big Picture, Recession, Stock Market Lessons, Globalization, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Spin, History, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Ben Bernanke, Congress, Big Picture, Henry Paulson, Credit Crisis, Sell in May & Go Away, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, America, Culture, Government, Business, US Housing Crisis, Real Economy

September 2008 Investment Strategy

Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz...

Published Tue, Sep 09 2008 8:27 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, Investing Strategies, Personal Remarks, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Investment Themes, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Stock Trader's Almanac, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Democracy, Capitalism, Big Picture, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Crude Oil, Foreign Oil Dependency, Change, Living Standards, Big Picture View, CNBC, Summer Rally

Understanding/Applying "Feedback Loops"

FEEDBACK LOOPS: A VICIOUS CYCLE . I’m slowly yellow-highlighting passages on every page of the little gem of a book I found at the annual New Paltz library sale: THE RETURN OF DEPRESSION ECONOMICS (1999) by Paul Krugman. For those of you who are...

Published Tue, Aug 08 2008 12:51 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, Trends, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis

Papa Bear Market Downside Target

THE STOCK MARKET Hope camouflaging a water torture, drip-by-drip decline is one way of describing today’s stock market. The big problem with all the bottom calling a few months back by Bob Doll, BlackRock’s “Trillion Dollar Man”...

Published Mon, Aug 08 2008 2:16 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Historical Perspectve, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Mama Bears, Papa Bears, 1974, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Big Picture, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Chart Patterns, 1932, 1929, Charts, Big Picture View, MAD MONEY, IBD, Bob Doll, Comstock Funds, Robert Prechter, heating bills, Papa Bear Mama Bear

Reasons For a Summer Rally

UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Written Wednesday, July 30th, 2008: 6:30 am EST. Another ‘ fl as hy - sp la sh y ’ rally yesterday So typical of bear markets, especially those with much further in time and points to go. Grizzly bear markets thrive...

Published Wed, Jul 07 2008 8:22 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Soverign Wealth Fund, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Daily Update, IBD 100 'New Names', 4-Day Rule, Historical Perspectve, Oil, The Principle of History, The Principle of Relative Strength, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trends, Trend Reversals, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Sequences, Investor's Business Daily, Spin, Bear Market Rally, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Gasoline, Dow Industrials, Trendlines, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, Bear Markets, Crude Oil, Gas Prices, Change, First Mover Advantage, IBD 100, Summer Rally, Merrill Lynch, Follow-Through Day, Theme, Food, US Government, CDO's, Short Selling, Temasek Holdings, Oversold, IBD

Monday Weekly Overview Sample Letter

Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz...

Published Mon, Jul 07 2008 8:19 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Alan Greenspan, US Economy, Socialism, Keys to the Market, Politics, Economic Data, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Interest Rates, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Fixed Income, Rallies, Investment Themes, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Spin, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, Europe, John McCain, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Big Picture, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, Energy, Economic Trends, Bear Markets, Economics, Crude Oil, Bullish on America, Energy Sevice, Foreign Oil Dependency, Bureaucracy, America, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Lobbying, Business, CNBC, Longs, Profit, Summer Rally, Income Investors, National Bureau of Economic Research, Barak Obama

Portfolio Strategy: Monday, July 14th, 2008

PORTFOLIO STRATEGY This year’s mid-March to mid-May bear market rally was the first rally versus the new primary bear market downtrend. Usually the first rally is the best rally (just like the first loss is the best loss) because many investors...

Published Mon, Jul 07 2008 8:34 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Daily Update, Weekly Letter, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, Trading Rules, Trends, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Trend Reversals, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Bear Stearns, Intermediate Corrections, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Ben Bernanke, Dow Industrials, Credit Crunch, Credit Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market

Sample Monday Overview Letter

Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz...

Published Mon, Jun 06 2008 9:55 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Investing Strategies, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Gold View, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Big Picture, Energy, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Crude Oil, 1932, 1929, Bullish on America, Inverse Funds, Energy Sevice

Is This Your Portfolio?

WHERE YOU SHOULD STAND TODAY. The Ideal Portfolio (another Schwartz View ). Yep, let me offer up one man’s view of what the ideal portfolio should be today and why: · Very minimal exposure to the stock market! This major, modern day margin...

Published Fri, Jun 06 2008 10:14 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Green Energy, China View, Gold, (GLD), Commodities, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Green Investing, (HOKU), (PLUG), (CHCHF), Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, Papa Bears, Fixed Income, Investment Themes, Agricultural Commodities, Foreign Currencies, The Principle of Proper Money Management, The Principle of Understanding Value, Energy Conservation, Solar, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, OPEC, Gold View, GLD, SPDR Gold Trust, Bear Market Rallies, Stock Market, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Energy, CPST, FSLR, BCON, WGOV, Energy Savings, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, 1932, 1929, ProFunds, Inverse Funds, Fidelity Selects, Energy Sevice, Rydex

One American's View on $4 Gas

ECONOMIC VIEW . One American’s View. Yep, Mine! With a bear market upon us, and myself and hopefully my readers all with hunkered down investment portfolios which thus don’t need constant care and attention, let me turn the spotlight on one...

Published Thu, Jun 06 2008 8:56 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, Economic Data, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Recession, Energy Conservation, Economic Common Sense, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Hist

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