Browse by Tags

Keeping an Eye on the Economy

THE ECONOMY Whatever the stock market does next, it’s been in rally mode for the last month, the US economy continues to sputter and slide lower. I was assessing the latest economic data late last week, starting with housing, and recent developments continued...

Published 04-22-2008 9:45 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, Economic Data, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Perspective
Prechter's Views Still Germane

THE BIG PICTURE I started reading another doom & gloom book yesterday. It’s Robert Prechter, Jr.’s 2002 CONQUER THE CRASH . I know, I know. Too much focus on the glass half full. Still I don’t want anything to sneak up on me, on us. Immediately upon...

Published 04-22-2008 9:39 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, The Big Picture, Deflation, Elliott Wave Principle
Real & Paper Economies Have to Meet in the Middle; Right?

THE REAL ECONOMY VS. THE PAPER ECONOMY The Real Economy . Oil at a record, rice too. Gold hitting $1000 an ounce, silver way up. Corn prices boosted by ethanol demand. Food riots in Haiti, Guatemala, Argentina and more. 24 countries dropping food import...

Published 04-16-2008 8:32 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Soft Commodities, GDP, US Economy, Dow Transports, Economic Data, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Bubbles, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Global Trend
Forget Scapegoating! Look Forward

SCAPEGOAT BLAMING . Boy, am I’m getting tired of the carping! Day after day, article after article. All these writers seem to think there’s something to gain in blaming former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan for the US housing bubble, the credit...

Published 04-09-2008 9:40 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, Investing Strategies, Soft Commodities, Inflation, US Economy, Economic Data, The Fed, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend
Today's Three-Pronged Nexus

Mon day, April 7 th , 2008 : Watching golf over the weekend, I know it’s so boring to many, I was amazed at the gorgeous setting of Punta Espada Golf Club, the Jack Nicklaus Course in the Dominican Republic . The water was blue & beautiful, the waves...

Published 04-07-2008 8:15 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, US Economy, Economic Data, The Fed, Macroeconomics, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Market Corrections, Government Intervention, The Big Picture
First Bear After a Bull Market

THE ECONOMY: Weekly Review: Monday, March 10th, 2008 Here’s a quote I could lead off the economy or stock market sections with, from www.comstockfunds.com : “The world is burdened by excessive debt and leverage throughout a large part of the financial...

Published 03-12-2008 1:20 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Bubbles, Economy Weekly
Bottom Fishing a Top

LONG US GOVERNMENT BOND VIEW . Bottom Fishing. Yep, I keep fishing for a bottom in the “long” US Treasury bond. I mean a bottom in yield, a top in price. All logic I can come up with says the 25-year bull market run to ever lower long term interest rates...

Published 03-06-2008 9:50 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, Inflation, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries
Monday Weekly Letter: Full Sample

PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; Sept 18, 1990 Mon day, March 3 rd , 2008: Three people yesterday told me they were sick...

Published 03-03-2008 8:20 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, ETFs, Shorting, Technical View, Green Energy, Value View, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Hedging, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, GDP, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, Charting, Personal Remarks, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Global Investing, Plunge Protection Team, The Fed, Update On The Stock Market, Stock Market Weekly, Weekly Letter
"It's Always Something During A Bear Market!"

Friday, February 22nd, 2008: UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Wednesday stocks rose, yesterday they fell, giving back all of Wednesday’s gains and a bit more. Call it backing and filling as the stock market continues to calm down a little. Still the background...

Published 02-22-2008 7:56 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market
Inflation is a Problem!

INFLATION VIEW/FED’S INFLATION VIEW . Out of Touch! Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told lawmakers February 14 th that “inflation expectations appear to have remained reasonably well anchored.” He says that each time he speaks and I’m totally sick...

Published 02-22-2008 7:51 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, The Age of Turbulence, GDP, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Fed
Global Inflation

Global Inflation a Problem . We’ve got a growing problem with US and global inflation, no matter what our Federal Reserve Bank says. Although our Fed ignores them, or says they will go down soon, food and energy costs are rising and global, right? Thus...

Published 02-21-2008 9:09 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, Stagflation, Gold, Soft Commodities, GDP, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Global Investing
Self-Reinforcing Downturns

Recessions Differ from Mid-Cycle Slowdowns in that that are Self-Reinforcing . A self-reinforcing downturn, which normally leads to a recession has begun, reports Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI). Basically...

Published 02-21-2008 9:03 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, GDP, Inflation, Jobs Report, US Economy, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend
Weekly Economic Update

THE ECONOMY Monday, February 18th, 2008: Maybe I’m taking the wrong approach, updating you each Monday on the health and path of the economy. And talking about the ongoing debate about recession or not lying ahead. Maybe the best approach is to look at...

Published 02-21-2008 8:57 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Value View, Stagflation, GDP, Inflation, Jobs Report, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data
Economic Data More Consistent: Weak

US economic data is now coming in more consistently weak. This observation was pretty much lost last week as the myopic stock market got hyped up over the Wednesday rate cut, Thursday’s “ fl as hy sp la sh y ” stock market rally and Friday’s early morning...

Published 02-07-2008 9:10 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, Economic Data

Blog Subscription Form

Syndication

Recent Posts

Have You Seen This?

Tags

Archives

Have You Seen This?

Keeping an Eye on the Economy

Prechter's Views Still Germane

Real & Paper Economies Have to Meet in the Middle; Right?

Forget Scapegoating! Look Forward

Today's Three-Pronged Nexus

First Bear After a Bull Market

Bottom Fishing a Top

Monday Weekly Letter: Full Sample

"It's Always Something During A Bear Market!"

Inflation is a Problem!

Global Inflation

Self-Reinforcing Downturns

Weekly Economic Update

Economic Data More Consistent: Weak