May 2008 - Musing on the Markets

Vinny Catalano, CFA drills into the key themes and trends impacting the economy, the markets and ever fluid investment strategies with an eye toward domestic and global forces.

Musing on the Markets

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Beyond The Sound Bite

My Beyond The Sound Bite audio interviews are now available via Podcast on InvestorsInsight.com. Consume the feed here.

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Quotable Quotes: Satanic Statistics

They say the devil is in the details. Well, how about this detail? On Monday the world population will reach 6,666,666. Perhaps a few words on statistics might alleviate any hellish thoughts. “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and...

Published 05-02-2008 8:26 AM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Quotable Quotes, Vinny Catalano
Sectors and Styles Strategy Report: May 5, 2008

in this week’s report : Model Growth Portfolio (MGP ) “The combination of the occasional pricing discrepancy between the S&P 500 and the individual economic sectors (1.15% vs. 1.41%) coupled with the strong performance by the Latin America...

Published 05-05-2008 8:03 AM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Weekly Report, Vinny Catalano, Model Growth Portfolio
Even Buffett Isn't Perfect

"The idea of financial panic -- that has been pretty much taken care of," Warren Buffett “Economy May Face Prolonged Pain, History Suggests” Greg Ip, Wall Street Journal Mr. Buffett may be technically correct but that won’t...

Published 05-06-2008 7:03 AM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Credit Crisis, Vahan Janjigian, Vinny Catalano, Warren Buffett
Beyond the Sound Bite: An interview with Maria Fiorini Ramirez

In my interview with the President and CEO of Maria Fiorini Ramirez, Inc. we discussed her no recession call, impacts of a classic credit crunch and deleveraging, the balance sheet strength of US corporations, and the status of the US consumer. The length...

Published 05-07-2008 6:08 AM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Audio Interview, Beyond the Sound Bite, Maria Fiorini-Ramirez, Vinny Catalano
The "Inflection Day" Rally

The granddaddy of the market confirmation principle, Dow Theory, states that each index (Industrials and Transports) must confirm the other in order for a move (up or down) to be considered sustainable. If one index makes a new recovery (not all-time...

Published 05-07-2008 10:08 PM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Technical Thursdays, Vinny Catalano, Dow Theory
Quotable Quotes: Thank you, Mr. Obama

Bush, Clinton, Bush, ..oops.. Thanks to Obama (and barring an unforeseen disaster in gun-happy America), the dynasty of dysfunctional political family rule has come to an end. “It's exciting; I don't know whether I'm going to win or...

Published 05-09-2008 3:09 AM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Quotable Quotes, George W. Bush, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, T.S. Eliot, George H. W. Bush, Vinny Catalano
Sectors and Styles Strategy Report: May 12, 2008

excerpts from this week's report: Model Growth Portfolio (MGP) “Yet another strong relative performance week for the MGP (that makes it 6 out of the last 7, 12 out of the last 14, and 14 out of 19 for the year) puts the year-to-date relative...

Published 05-12-2008 9:17 AM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Weekly Report, Vinny Catalano, Model Growth Portfolio
"Inflection Day" Rally Effects - Rotation Underway

text from yesterday's weekly report: As the "Inflection Day" rally rolls on, a rotational pattern seems to be emerging. The recent emerging weakness in Consumer Staples combined with strength in areas such as Consumer Discretionary and Mid...

Published 05-13-2008 2:03 AM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Investment Strategy, Vinny Catalano
Beyond the Sound Bite: An Interview with Don Rissmiller

In my comprehensive interview, the Chief Economist with Strategas shares his thoughts and insights on a long and shallow US economic downturn, the US consumer - credit, spending, and savings, and residential and non residential construction and lending...

Published 05-14-2008 7:12 AM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Audio Interview, Beyond the Sound Bite, US Consumer, Vinny Catalano, Chief Economist, Strategas, Don Rissmiller, Mortgages, Non-Residential Lending
"Inflection Day" Rally: Progress Report and Forecast

Since “inflection day”*, the equity markets have witnessed a modest increase in risk appetite. This is evidenced by several indicators (credit spreads, TAF and TSL auctions, for example) as well as by the trading action between and among various...

Published 05-15-2008 9:58 AM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Investment Strategy, Vinny Catalano
Picture This: Bodacious the Bull

On this day eight years ago, the most feared rodeo bull of all time passed away. So, the next time someone tells you how hard it is to ride a bull market direct them to this video: Bodacious the Bull Have a good weekend.

Published 05-15-2008 11:47 PM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Quotable Quotes, Vinny Catalano, YouTube
Beyond the Sound Bite: V - TV Weekend Edition

Friday's appearance on BNN TV enabled me to expand upon the rotational aspects of the market as well as other items. The length of the interview is 6 minutes 2 seconds.

Published 05-17-2008 5:06 PM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Beyond the Sound Bite, Investment Strategy, Vinny Catalano, BNN TV
Sectors and Styles Strategy Report: May 19, 2008

excerpts from this week’s report: Model Growth Portfolio (MGP) “What can I say? Yet another strong relative performance week for the MGP (that makes it 7 out of the last 8, 13 out of the last 15, and 15 out of 20 for the year) lifts the year...

Published 05-19-2008 8:37 AM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Weekly Report, Investment Strategy, Vinny Catalano
W (not the movie)

The economic debate seems to have settled into which letter best fits the future trend of the US economy: V, U, L, or W? The most bullish group, which includes many in the Goldilocks-redux crew, believe in the down (maybe strong) then up US economic scenario...

Published 05-19-2008 8:24 PM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Weekly Report, Investment Strategy, US Consumer, Vinny Catalano
Beyond the Sound Bite: An Interview with Art Hogan

In my interview with the Director of Global Equity Products for Jefferies & Co. we explored his shallow recession call, fairly strong operating earnings outlook, sectors (and industries within) that look attractive and ones to avoid, and the influence...

Published 05-21-2008 2:26 AM by Vinny Catalano, CFA

Filed under: Audio Interview, Beyond the Sound Bite, Investment Strategy, Vinny Catalano, Art Hogan

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May 2008 - Musing on the Markets

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Beyond The Sound Bite

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Have You Seen This?

Quotable Quotes: Satanic Statistics

Sectors and Styles Strategy Report: May 5, 2008

Even Buffett Isn't Perfect

Beyond the Sound Bite: An interview with Maria Fiorini Ramirez

The "Inflection Day" Rally

Quotable Quotes: Thank you, Mr. Obama

Sectors and Styles Strategy Report: May 12, 2008

"Inflection Day" Rally Effects - Rotation Underway

Beyond the Sound Bite: An Interview with Don Rissmiller

"Inflection Day" Rally: Progress Report and Forecast

Picture This: Bodacious the Bull

Beyond the Sound Bite: V - TV Weekend Edition

Sectors and Styles Strategy Report: May 19, 2008

W (not the movie)

Beyond the Sound Bite: An Interview with Art Hogan