70% Discount on the Most Powerful Profit-generating Trade-timing Tools in the Market!!!

By Mike Turner

Dear Friend,

I hope you had an enjoyable and safe Labor Day... and before we jump into this week's letter, I'd like to make you an offer I hope you can't refuse. How would you like a 70% discount on the most powerful profit-generating trade-timing tools in the market!!! That's exactly what I'm offering the first 450 readers who take me up on this offer. Please keep reading… the details are below.

OK, back to this week's letter. It's the beginning of a new month, so let's review last month's Signal Investor portfolio performance (more on our 3-year total database performance further down in this week's letter):

  • In perspective, the S&P 500 lost -3.13% for the month of August, 2013.
  • In the Signal Investor portfolio we closed 7 trades in August (AWAY, GOOG, VIPS, BX, EMN, ESRX and SNTS). 86% of the trades (6) resulted in positive trades. The average winning trade was 11.22% with VIPS turning in the best return of 30.79%. Our only losing trade was AWAY, which resulted in a loss of -2.07%. The Signal Investor portfolio literally smashed the market!
  • The Signal Investor portfolio ended the month 76% invested in 12 active trades (FLT, ASGN, GNRC, KORS, JAZZ, AFSI, RGEN, CVLT, LL, BIDU, RAX and OCN). 100% of the trades were holding positive gains at the close of the month. BIDU is our best performer, up 34.79%. The average gain of all holdings is +15.38%. Our oldest trade is FLT, which has been in the portfolio since April 2nd of this year and is up a solid +32.45%.

Quote worth Quoting Again

"If you could kick the person in the pants responsible for most of your trouble, you wouldn't sit for a month."...
Theodore Roosevelt

By the way... we raised our stops on KORS, LL and PRLB this week. As I mentioned, we are about 76% invested and with the current turmoil, I am not ready to put any more money to work this week. However, I am looking closely at some inverse ETFs and may put some money to work on the short side. I'll send my Signal Investor subscribers a "Flash Trade Alert" if I decide to move into one of these short biased equities.

Our President and 'some' leaders in Congress are in massive PR campaigns right now to convince the American public that we need to get involved in a civil war between factions that are anti-US on both sides. The convincing is going to be a bit tough. The give-and-take of what transpires over the next week or so could so roil the market to the extent that I am hesitant to jump in with any additional long-biased trades. I am watching these situations closely, though, and will let you know if and when I decide it's time to move one way or the other.

So far this week, our portfolio is way ahead of the market, so keeping 25% or so of my cash in reserves right now seems to be the best course of action.


Looking into September...

This September looks to be a bit more volatile than 'normal' and it is widely accepted that it is one of the worst months of the year for the stock market. The time-cycle forecast for September is not overly Bearish, but there is a lot more red on the forecast than green (see below)

clip_image002

So... what else do we have to look forward to?

  • Our red-lining President has managed to set us on the brink of yet another war in the Middle-East. His 'lead-from-behind' mentality may accomplish two things: Keep us out of another war where we haven't got a clue about how to pick a side; and at the same time, prove to the world that we don't have the ability to back up what we promise to do. This whole process has evolved into a damned-if-you-do and damned-if-you-don't situation. Certainly, the world's remaining super power looks more feckless than when Jimmy Carter was President... something I never thought I'd see again in my lifetime. If only Bush were still President... then the press could have someone to blame for all of this mess. We could certainly be sucked into another Middle-East situation that could ignite a powder keg of no-win scenarios in that part of the world. We can't ignore what's going on in Syria and whomever we help will most likely end up still being our enemy. There are many no-win scenarios that could roil the financial markets in general and oil in particular.
  • Congress and the Obama administration once again are drawing lines in the sand (pardon the pun) over raising the debt limit and authorizing spending measures to keep the government running. The current $16.7-trillion debt limit will be hit by mid-October and a conservative versus RINO versus liberal fight about funding Obamacare and raising the debt ceiling could spook financial markets.
  • Then there is the newest dance craze... the Bernanke Taper Tango... This on-again-off-again discussion of whether or not the Fed is going to reduce its money printing activities is getting old, to say the least. Frankly, I'm tired of the Fed's manipulation of the market and the sooner they get out of the business of artificially 'fixing' interest rates and monetary supply, the sooner we will get back to a free market in which to trade. I suspect there will be some tapering this coming month and it will not have a major impact on the market unless some other exogenous event occurs simultaneously.
  • I realize that historical revisionism is alive and well in this country, but I am amazed that the longer it takes the policies of the Current Administration to have positive effects on our economy, the more strident and apocalyptic the descriptions of the most recent recession, which was the prior President's cause, become. We are being told by the financial press, either directly or indirectly, that the reason employment remains so painfully slow to improve, is the ever growing historical recession... not the ever more evident failures of the Current Administration's policies. Regardless, the unemployment numbers remain an overhang on the markets and the worse they become, the more adversely the markets will react to those numbers. September's numbers could play a major role in the direction of the market. Indeed, this week's numbers are 'supposed' to be pretty strong (positive), but I wonder if the current trend of the majority of new jobs being of the part-time variety will continue to prevail. Let's hope not.
  • Some say the Fed either has lost or is on the precipice of losing control over interest rates; regardless of their infinite so-called 'balance sheet'. It would not surprise me to see interest rates continue to rise and the inevitable collapse of the bond market continue to loom ever closer. I would not want to be long bonds in this environment.

The Bull/Bear and Oscillator Report...

This week's investor sentiment, as measured by the total number of new technical long buy signals, compare to this week's total number of new technical short sell signals, has moved even more significantly bearish. The ratio for this past week is nearly 7-to-1 in favor of the Bears.
The black line (sum of both new long signals and new short sell signals) has locked in a definite and strong move below the red line (total number of new short sell signals for the month).
The time-cycle bias forecast charts for the broader markets are, however, all Bullish for the next week or two.
Now that it looks like the President is backing down from a show-down with Syria, that issue 'may' subside enough to be temporarily ignored by the economic markets. Although, the political machinations will likely keep the geo-political pot stirred and shaken.
Getting a lot less Bullish is a strategy worth considering. 19% of the 88 inverse ETFs in the CycleProphet database have Buy Signals, but only one of the 19% (EEV, an Emerging Market Inverse ETF) is giving a new Buy Signal for this coming week. An analysis of the CycleProphet data does not indicate that now is the time to move strongly into Inverse ETFs and/or short the market. But, one might be tempted to dip a particularly risk tolerant toe into the Inverse ETF waters.

Turner Bull/Bear Forecast
For the Upcoming Week

clip_image004

The Turner Bull/Bear Forecast™ provides a one-week directional forecast on the market, with [-5] being the most Bearish and a [+5] being the most Bullish. This is predicated on the ratio of number of new Buy Signals to the number of new Short Sell Signals for the previous week. The assumption is investors are becoming more Bullish the more lopsided the ratio becomes in favor of new Buy Signals; and, the converse is true; the more lopsided the ratio becomes in favor of new Short Sell Signals, the more Bearish investor sentiment.

clip_image005

The Turner CrossOver Oscillator™ provides an indication of the over-bought or over-sold condition of the market. The red line (New Short Sell Signals) shows a technical direction and strength (or lack thereof) of investors to push stock prices lower, triggering new Short Sell Signals. The higher the Short Sell Signals line, the more Bearish the market. The black line (Composite of both Short Sell and Long Buy Signals) is the combined impact of both the new Short Sell Signals and the new Buy Signals and is an indication of the degree of oversold or overbought condition of the market. Buying opportunities exist when the Composite of Signals line is moving higher. The higher this line moves, the more Bullish the market. Market bottoms are represented by a change in direction of the Composite of Signals line from moving lower to moving higher. Market corrections become much more likely when the Composite of Signals line crosses the Short Sell Signals line from below the Short Sell Signals line to above the Short Sell Signals line. The market is represented by the green shaded area.

 


Equity Analyzer Performance Update...

When you review the following table, keep in mind these results are based on 100% of all the trade-timing events that the CycleProphet Equity Analyzer has recommended over the past 3 years. Trade-timing is purely a function of when Equity Analyzer gives a new entry signal of either a technical long buy (when the week ending closing price line on the charts moves from black to green) or a new short sell (when the week ending closing price line on the charts moves from black to red); and, when an equity's price reaches Equity Analyzer's exit signal based on the tool's stop price recommendation.

clip_image007

In the table, above, there are 3 sections. In the top section, you see the trade-timing performance of 100% of the equities in the CycleProphet database. In the second section, the results are for the 500 stocks in the S&P 500. In the bottom section, you see the results of those stocks that are currently in the Top 100 stocks, as scored and ranked using both fundamentals and technicals.

I realize there are a lot of numbers to digest in the above table, but the takeaway is (hopefully) very clear... Our Equity Analyzer is an incredibly powerful profit-generating trade-timing tool. Please take some time to look closely at these stats. Hopefully, you are getting similar kinds of results from your use of this great tool. Our subscribers tell us that our tools are "head-and-shoulders" better than any other trade-timing and analysis tools on the market. I agree!

Here's my 70% Discounted Offer

By the way... if you are NOT a current subscriber to my tools and would like to start using the best, most profit-producing trade-timing tools in the industry, then I have a very special offer for you. For the first 450 investors who take advantage of this offer will save more than 70% off the normal rate. Our normal rate for Equity Forecaster plus Equity Analyzer plus Signal Investor is about $150 per month or $1,500 per year. But, the first 450 people who sign up with the following "Promotion Code": NL913 will get ALL our tools AND the Signal Investor newsletter and portfolio for $49.95 per month or save another 17% by subscribing to the annual subscription for only $499.95 per year... and this deal is good for life!

Click Here for the 70% discount on CycleProphet.

Remember... to get this discount, use the Promotion Code: NL913


Mike's LIVE Trading Room for September!

The August series of my Live Trading Room is behind us. The sessions were completely sold out and we met our goal of finding trades that were more than profitable enough to pay for the tuition. I can't promise the same trading results for September, but that is certainly one of my goals.

Starting at 10:30 am CDT on September 9 (this coming Monday) and for four consecutive weeks (4, 1-hour+ sessions in all), you have the opportunity to sit in and participate in my personal trading room. In these live trading room sessions, I will walk you through exactly how I go about picking a stock and putting on a trade. I will have my trading team (Tom and Will) in the room with us. You will hear their give/take on my analysis and it is not uncommon to have some energetic discussions about a potential trade, but that is when you really get into the understanding of how professional traders make final trading decisions.

I will make several trades in the September sessions (up to 3 per session).

I limit my sessions to only 10 first-time students. I want to make sure there is plenty of time for personalized Q/A throughout the one-hour sessions. You will learn all of the following:

  • How to incorporate current market activities and economic events into consideration.
  • How to read and interpret the time-cycle market forecast charts.
  • How to read and interpret the Turner CrossOver Oscillator.
  • How to pick the right stock or ETF for the current market.
  • How to set your exit strategy and what to do if the market suddenly reverses due to a significant exogenous event.
  • How to remove the noise from the market when looking for the right stock at the right time.
  • How to refine your analysis to remove marginal plays that do not have enough upside for the risk of the trade.
  • Much, much more in the way of insight and professional trader knowledge.

September's sessions are filling up and will be completely filled by this coming weekend. Alums from these sessions have written and/or called me to tell me how much they appreciate the courses. They consistently tell me they have 'upped' their trading game considerably. If you want to up your trading game, join me in this September's 4-session series in my personal Trading Room. This could be the best training in serious stock market investing you will ever get!

Remember... I am only allowing 10 first-time students into my personal trading room. All the sessions are live where you can ask questions during and after the sessions. There are only a few seats left. If you want to join me and up your trading acumen, then CLICK HERE to sign up NOW!

Don't worry if you can't personally attend a session at 10:30 am CDT each Monday in September... We are recording the sessions and will send you a link to the recording so you can listen at your convenience.


The Mike Turner Approach to Managed Money...

In my appearances across the country the past few months, I have been approached many times for information about my managed account business. There are a lot of people who have missed the run up in the markets this year and are frustrated at having missed out. But they are also afraid of getting in right before a market crash. They know all too well, that this market cannot continue to move higher indefinitely. My Sabinal One portfolio is a long/short strategy that runs long while the Bulls are in charge and flips to inverse ETFs when the Bears come to play. I am an active investment manager that is not afraid to go to cash, stay long and go short when the time is right.

clip_image008

Join me this coming Thursday afternoon for a status update on my Sabinal One portfolio. I will review our progress and performance in the portfolio and will also discuss, in detail, exactly how I manage the portfolio, the market segments that the portfolio covers and what I will do if and when the markets move from Bull-Mode to Bear-Mode. I will take you through the process of how I utilize the tools I have developed to find the best stocks for the portfolio and, most importantly, how I control risk. In this presentation, I will provide you with my overview and preview of how the markets are likely to play out in September. I will also show you what is currently in the portfolio and why.

Click Here to register for this month's Sabinal One portfolio status webinar.

My money management company, Sabinal Capital Investments, LLC, is a registered investment advisory in Texas and is licensed to manage personal and institutional accounts in all 50 states. For more information about Sabinal Capital Investments, LLC, please go to our website www.sabinalcapital.com.


Mark Your Calendars...

You are cordially invited to attend one of my educational webinars this month. Our clients and subscribers help us choose topics that are of interest to every investor, whether or not you are a subscriber to CycleProphet. We record each of these webinars so if you are unable to attend live, please register anyway and we will send you a link so that you can watch the webinar at your convenience. There is no charge for these webinars and you are sure to glean some information that will help you with your personal investing.

Wednesday, September 11, 2013
3:30PM - 4:30PM CT
"Profiting in a Bear Market"

The month of September is historically difficult for the stock market. For most people, they just close their eyes and hope that their portfolios won't lose too much money. At CycleProphet, we love bear markets! There are more opportunities to make short-term profits and buying stocks at great prices when they become oversold. During this session, Mike Turner will show you how the tools and strategies he developed can help you to profit in any market. He will get into a detailed discussion as to how you can ascertain when a bear market is about to bottom and how best to profit from the rebound that follows. He will talk about strategies that can be executed in any taxable or tax-deferred accounts. Don't miss Mike's most important training session of the year!

To register for the webinar, click here: Profiting in a Bear Market


Wednesday, September 18, 2013
3:30PM - 4:30PM CT
"Understanding Market Prophet and Equity Prophet"

How profitable would your trading be if you knew the likely trend direction of every index, every stock, and every ETF? CycleProphet has the tools for that! During this webinar, Mike Turner will discuss how he uses both the Market Forecaster and Equity Forecaster time-cycle charts to make profitable trades. He will discuss the nuances of these charts and the proper way to use them for your trading. We will also have a live question and answer session so that you can get your specific questions answered. If you have something you would like us to discuss, please forward your questions to us at [email protected] .

To register for this webinar, click here: Understanding Market Prophet and Equity Prophet


Wednesday, September 25, 2013
3:30PM - 4:30PM CT
"Finding the Best Stocks for Your Portfolio"

How many times have you invested your money into a "great company" only to lose money? Did you buy GE at $65? Dell at $100? Remember those great companies Enron and Agilent? A lot of people have lost a lot of money. Knowing which stocks are right for your portfolio can be a difficult task. During this educational presentation, Mike Turner will show you how to x-ray a stock - look at its fundamentals, technicals, and likely near-term trend - in order to find the best ones for your investment dollars. If you are interested in finding stocks that are consistently profitable, you can't afford to miss this important session.

To register for this webinar, click here: Finding the Best Stocks for Your Portfolio


Closing Thoughts...

I always like to run my commentaries past some of my staff just to make sure that I didn't go over the top in my political intertwining's... One of my trusted reviewers doesn't like it when I mention anything political. He says, "Not everyone agrees with you, politically, so why take the chance of alienating a good customer or client with your conservative viewpoints?" My response is generally something along the lines of, "People pay me for my opinion. They don't pay me for someone else's opinion. And, certainly, they do not have to agree with me (although they should, I am thinking...)" One of my other reviewers is always urging me to include more (a lot more) of my political point of view in juxtaposition to the economy and the stock market. He wants me to write my unvarnished thoughts about the state of our economy and the reign of terror that politics (unfortunately, on both sides of the aisle) that often intrudes into our free enterprise system and our wonderful capitalistic way of life.

I will admit to wearing a muzzle most of the time, as this is the least offensive way to communicate my thoughts on the market. But, as hard as it is to deal with facts versus opinion, I do believe I have my political commentaries based purely on fact; although some might argue that point with me. My goal is to provide you with an insight that you won't get anywhere else since I believe that my readers do not want stale, regurgitated statistics, as there are any number of analyst reports and financial news articles that provide that sort of venue.

However, if you want to know what I think about where the market is headed and why, then most unfortunately, some politics will come into play. For example, the current Syrian issue seems to me to be far more about politics than a military objective. As a stock market investor, I want to know if an attack on Syria has an endgame that does not escalate into a much bigger conflict. Of course, it is entirely likely that no one knows the endgame. So, we have to hedge our trades with risk adjusted strategies for potential outcomes. If the risk becomes too high, then a move to cash or safe havens makes more sense while we take a wait-and-see attitude.

Neither you nor I really know what is driving the current push to attack Syria. It certainly 'could' be because of Assad's use of chemical weapons. It 'could' be because our President stupidly and publicly drew a red line regarding the use of chemical weapons and now has to save face. It 'could' be because we want to remove Assad from power. It 'could' be any one of a dozen reasons... or a combination of those reasons. Regardless, we (you and I) have to plan our involvement in the stock market with an eye toward what happens if this scenario or that scenario occurs.

I have raised my stops and may raise them a lot more in my Signal Investor portfolio, as we get closer to a Congressional vote on backing the President's attack on Syria. With regard to my managed account portfolio (Sabinal One), I have sold out of all my positions except oil, gold and silver. I am not excited about putting a lot of new money to work in the market until we can see some more clarity on the Syrian issue.

On top of all of this is the battle over raising the debt limit and the funding or defunding of Obamacare. That battle, alone, could put the market into a tailspin, depending on the showdown where both sides are playing an unwinnable game of chicken. Risk is definitely to the downside. As such, as I said earlier, I am looking seriously at some inverse ETFs.

One last point on politics... You may be a liberal or a conservative; a RINO or a libertarian... but regardless of your political persuasion, I know we can agree on this much... You and I both want to make smart trading decisions based on sound reasoning and well within our tolerance for risk. I may think that politics plays too much of a role in that objective; you may think it plays no role at all. I will do all I can to help you achieve your goal of solid returns and do my best to help you mitigate your exposure to risk... regardless of your political persuasion.

Have a great rest of the week in the market!

Your keeping-my-powder-dry portfolio manager,

clip_image010

Mike Turner
Founder and President
CycleProphet, Inc.

P.S. I hope you’ll take me up on my 70% discounted offer; but please hurry… it’s limited to the first 450 new subscribers. Click Here for the 70% discount on CycleProphet and use the Promotion Code: NL913

IMPORTANT!

This letter is informational only and is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Any suggested trading strategies may or may not reflect trades that I plan to make in my personal accounts and/or may be similar to trades I have made or will make in the management of my client accounts. In this venue, I do not know your financial situation and I am NOT your financial advisor. As such you should NOT attempt to buy or sell any securities mentioned in this letter unless you first obtain the advice of a trusted professional financial advisor. Buying or selling securities involves risk which often results in significant financial loss. IF YOU BUY OR SELL A SECURITY BASED SOLELY UPON INFORMATION PROVIDED HEREIN, YOU WILL MOST LIKELY LOSE MONEY.

CycleProphet, Inc., 10002 Glencarrie Lane, Austin, TX 78750 (1-888-628-5556)





Posted 09-04-2013 5:20 PM by Mike Turner

Comments

bing.com wrote bing.com
on 10-19-2014 8:27 PM

70% Discount on the Most Powerful Profit-generating Trade-timing Tools in the Market!!! - Mike Turner’s CycleProphet - Investment Strategies, Analysis & Intelligence for Seasoned Investors.