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  • European Debt Crisis Revisited - Implications For the US

    Today we take a fresh look at the European debt crisis which is worsening. Just over a month ago, EU leaders agreed on a second bailout loan for Greece to keep it from defaulting. That bailout loan had to be approved by all EU member nations, and several have refused to do so unless Greece can put up collateral. This has caused the bailout agreement to unravel and Germany's Chancellor Andrea Merkel is frantically trying to put it back together. If she fails, we could get another serious shock to the equity markets in the US.

    Meanwhile, the European Central Bank began buying huge chunks of government bonds from Italy and Spain to keep their credit markets functioning. Some argue that the ECB is not authorized to make such purchases but it is doing so anyway. It remains to be seen just how long the ECB can continue this large-scale quantitative easing. In any event, the European debt crisis is worsening, and I continue to believe that it will have more negative consequences for our markets here.

    A new CNN poll found that Americans' confidence in Congress is at a new low. For the first time ever, a majority of Americans want the bums in Washington voted out of office -- including their own Representatives in Congress. In past polls a majority wanted some members of Congress kicked out, but not their own Representatives. You'll find this story very interesting. Finally, I leave you today with a very good article written by Tony Blankley who offers President Obama some advice for his major speech on Thursday night.

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  • Why Greece Matters to You and Me

    The sovereign debt crisis in Greece is rapidly spreading to much of the rest of Europe. In addition to Greece, Portugal, Spain and Ireland, Italy is now in question. Italy has the third largest bond market on earth behind the US and Japan. Today I bring you a sobering assessment of the European debt crisis from our old friends at Stratfor.com, which is one of the most alarming analyses I have ever read from them. I also bring you an even more alarming evaluation from GaveKal Research, a leading forecaster based in Hong Kong.

    The bottom line is that another global financial crisis may be just around the corner, in weeks or months, and I believe this could spark the next major bear market in the US and global stock markets. I suggest you read today's E-Letter very carefully and begin to think about what you need to do to protect your investment portfolio and your retirement nestegg. Time may be very short as events in Europe are unfolding very rapidly, and no one knows for sure what will happen next. This may be one of the most timely E-Letters I have ever written.

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