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  • CBO: U.S. Debt Crisis On The Horizon


    The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office (“CBO”) released a very troubling new report in the last week of July. The new report is entitled “Federal Debt and the Risk of a Fiscal Crisis” and warns that we will face financial calamity if we do not get our massive budget deficits under control.

    The CBO report points out that the national debt, which was 36% of the gross domestic product three years ago, is now projected to be 62% of GDP at the end of fiscal year 2010 on September 30. And it continues to ratchet up every year thereafter, even in the CBO’s “baseline” (more conservative) projections.

    The CBO specifically warns that our out-of-control deficits could lead to the ultimate debt crisis when buyers of Treasury securities lose faith in the government’s promise not to default on these most trusted financial instruments. No kidding!

    I have been writing about the perils of increasing our national debt year after year since back in the 1980s when I criticized President Ronald Reagan for doing so, and every president since him. The concern was that in 20-30 years, the ultimate debt crisis would come. Guess what: it’s now been 20-30 years, and even the CBO now warns that the day of reckoning is on the horizon.

    This week, I’ll summarize the latest CBO report. After reading about it, you need to think seriously about how you will protect your assets when the day comes where US Treasury securities are no longer trusted – think sharply higher interest rates! This will be a continuing theme in the weeks and months ahead.

    But before we jump into the latest troubling CBO report, let’s take a quick look at the latest economic reports, most of which have not been favorable. It has been several weeks since I wrote about the economy specifically, so let’s get caught up.

  • Are "Speculators" Controlling Oil Prices?

    With the recent spike in oil prices above $140 a barrel, and gasoline at $4.00 or above, Americans are crying foul. Someone must be to blame. In recent weeks, blame has increasingly been focused on so-called "speculators" in the oil and energy futures markets. This week, I take an in-depth look at the role of speculators in the futures markets and how much, or how little, they may be affecting the prices of oil and gasoline. I also review a recent Merrill Lynch study on the role of speculators in the energy markets. This should be one of my more interesting E-Letters....
  • How To Make A Small Fortune In Commodities

    How To Make A Small Fortune In Commodities IN THIS ISSUE: 1. My History With The Commodity Futures Markets 2. How To Make A Small Fortune? Start With A Large One 3. Why The Commodity Futures Markets Are So Risky 4. Why Almost All Individual Investors...