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Have You Seen This?

Have You Seen This?

  • Is America On The Road To Financial Ruin?

    Last Wednesday, President Obama announced the most sweeping financial industry reforms since the Securities and Exchange Commission was created in 1934. Obama unveiled new proposals that would refashion the federal rules governing almost every corner of finance, and will push the government and the Federal Reserve much more deeply into banks and the private markets. I will discuss these massive changes and tell you why I do not believe they will be good for the markets or investors, for the most part. We will also look at some new polls which indicate that more Americans are worried about President Obama's trillion dollar deficits than they are about the recession. Lastly, we will look at the latest economic numbers and what they mean. Let's jump right in....
  • Obama On Course To Double National Debt

    Based on the Obama administration's own spending forecasts, the US national debt is projected to double over the next 10 years. Currently at over $11.4 trillion, the national debt is projected to balloon to at least $22.5 trillion over the next 10 years, according to the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office. The CBO now forecasts the fiscal 2009 budget deficit at a record $1.845 trillion alone, with another deficit of $1.4 trillion in fiscal 2010. If our national debt in fact doubles in the next 10 years (and it could more than double), this will be bad news for the US dollar and interest rates, which in turn is bad news for stocks. As you might expect, the liberal media is not talking about these new debt numbers, so I will lay it all out for you this week. Feel free to pass this week's E-Letter on to others - we need to get out the word!...
  • Have We Turned The Corner On The Recession?

    While the global recession and credit crisis are still in full swing, at least we have finally seen a few positive economic reports of late. Specifically, we have seen some good news in the housing sector where new and existing home sales actually increased nicely in February, following months and months of decline. We also saw an unexpected jump in durable goods orders for last month. These reports, along with the nice jump in the stock markets, have led several noted forecasters to suggest that we've seen the bottom in the recession and the worst of the credit crisis. I am not so convinced.

    We will also take a close look at Treasury Secretary Geithner's latest bank bailout plan that would partner government and private investors in a scheme to take toxic assets off of the banks' books, but there is no guarantee that this new plan will work. We'll also examine the Fed's latest plans to buy Treasury debt and more toxic assets from banks. Next, we'll examine the latest report from the Congressional Budget Office regarding President Obama's record large budget for 2010, which the CBO says will result in a massive $2.3 trillion deficit. Can I say, I told you so?

    It's a lot to cover in one letter, but I trust you will find it interesting....
  • Why The Stock Markets Are Collapsing

    The US economy is in the worst recession since the Great Depression, and the latest economic reports have been even worse than expected. The US stock markets continue to collapse, with the Dow and the S&P 500 down well over 50% since the peak in October 2007. It is estimated that $10 trillion in wealth has disappeared in the US alone as a result of the stock market bust. Investors around the world are asking WHY? In my opinion, a big reason why the markets are collapsing is the trillions of dollars in new federal spending that President Obama has enacted. Plus, his record $3.55 trillion federal budget for 2010 will likely result in a deficit of over $2 trillion for fiscal 2010. I believe that this enormous spending, plus his other liberal plans that he intends to put in place this year, are serving to drive stock prices much lower than what should be happening. This is a lot to cover in one letter, so let's get started....
  • Throwing Trillions Around Like Crazy

    President Obama will sign into law the largest single spending bill un US history, $787 billion, today in Denver. No one knows if it will work. Last Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner announced a massive bank bailout plan that will spend $1.5-$2 trillion or more, but he failed to provide many details on how this rescue package will work. The stock markets have been in a tailspin ever since. There is growing talk of nationalizing many of our large banks. While I'm against nationalization, I have included a very interesting article by Dr. Nouriel Roubini, a well-known economist. I think you should read it, if for no other reason than to be informed on the subject....
  • The Recession & More Government Bailouts

    Well, the 'R' Word (recession) can now be officially used to describe the US economy since the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) declared that we have been in a recession since December of 2007. Considering the back-dated nature of NBER's announcement, we find ourselves in the midst of the third longest recession since the Great Depression, with no end yet in sight. No wonder the Treasury and Fed are pulling out all of the stops to bail out the economy. This week, I'm going to discuss the current bleak economic picture, the Fed's latest bailout and the possible long-term consequences of the Fed's printing money....
  • Storms On The Horizon - The Entitlement Time Bomb

    The federal budget deficit is projected to soar to a record $482 billion in 2009. With that in mind, I reprint a recent speech by Dallas Federal Reserve Bank president Richard W. Fisher on the subject of the US debt crisis. Let me warn you, this is not for the faint of heart. It is one of the most chilling forecasts I have read in a long time. You need to read it. The question is, why is no one talking about this problem or taking any steps to head it off? I offer some comments at the end....
  • Stratfor: The US Economy & The Next "Big One"

    The conventional wisdom on Wall Street seems to be that we have now entered into a recession. While I'm not yet ready to get on that bandwagon, I do see it as a definite possibility in light of ongoing weak economic reports. If we do experience a recession, the next question is whether this is going to be the "big one," somewhat akin to the 1930s Depression....