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  • Interesting Articles of Late

    For this week's E-Letter, I have chosen to reprint four of the most interesting articles I have read over the last week. The first two articles are from well-known writers that have come to agree with me that we are headed for another financial crisis if President Obama continues his plan to double the national debt over the next decade.

    The third article is from Larry Kudlow, well-known economist and host of CNBC's The Kudlow Report, who argues that Obama's latest plan to use TARP money to bail out homeowners who are about to default is just plain wrong and unfair to those lower and middle class families who are working extra hard to make their mortgage payments.

    The final article is a column by George Will of ABC News' This Week. As you may know, Obama plans to take up immigration reform very soon, as he is in desperate need of some new voters. George Will makes a brilliant suggestion for how to solve the illegal immigration problem once and for all that I'll bet you haven't thought of.

    I will be back to our usual format next week. I hope everyone had a great Easter holiday. I sure did!...
  • On The Economy & The CBO's Credibility

    I felt really bad about sending out last week's E-Letter in which I predicted that we will face another serious financial crisis and perhaps another depression sometime in the next several years. But later that same day, the latest poll by Fox News/Opinion Dynamics showed that 79% of registered voters believe that an economic collapse is still possible. 84% of Republicans, 80% of Independents and 71% of Democrats all agree that the worst may not be over. Obviously, there are a LOT of Americans that agree with me that Obama's trillion-dollar deficits and the skyrocketing national debt represent the biggest threat to our economic and financial futures.

    This week, we take a look at the latest economic reports, most of which suggest that growth this year will fall well short of the 5.6% rise in GDP in the 4Q. We also review the recent actions in the stock and bond markets, both of which have had their share of surprises. And finally, we will review how the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office 'scores' major pieces of legislation in terms of their overall cost. You may be surprised to learn that Congress can game the system and get just about any CBO score they want - as was the case with ObamaCare.

    ...
  • Another Financial Crisis To Come

    America is headed for another much more serious financial crisis in the coming years. Trillion dollar annual budget deficits are skyrocketing our national debt - now at a record $12.6 trillion - which is on track to more than double over the next decade. Moody's, one of the nation's oldest credit rating firms, warned recently that the US government could lose its triple-A credit rating in a few years if the current runaway spending is not reversed.

    Whether the government loses its triple-A credit rating or not, those who buy our trillions in government Treasury securities are becoming increasingly nervous about our ability to make good on those supposedly risk-free obligations. Foreigners own over half of our outstanding national debt. When these creditors decide they no longer trust our commitment to make good on this exploding debt, we will enter a financial and currency crisis that will make 2008 look like a walk in the park.

    ...
  • Is America On The Road To Financial Ruin?

    Last Wednesday, President Obama announced the most sweeping financial industry reforms since the Securities and Exchange Commission was created in 1934. Obama unveiled new proposals that would refashion the federal rules governing almost every corner of finance, and will push the government and the Federal Reserve much more deeply into banks and the private markets. I will discuss these massive changes and tell you why I do not believe they will be good for the markets or investors, for the most part. We will also look at some new polls which indicate that more Americans are worried about President Obama's trillion dollar deficits than they are about the recession. Lastly, we will look at the latest economic numbers and what they mean. Let's jump right in....
  • Obama On Course To Double National Debt

    Based on the Obama administration's own spending forecasts, the US national debt is projected to double over the next 10 years. Currently at over $11.4 trillion, the national debt is projected to balloon to at least $22.5 trillion over the next 10 years, according to the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office. The CBO now forecasts the fiscal 2009 budget deficit at a record $1.845 trillion alone, with another deficit of $1.4 trillion in fiscal 2010. If our national debt in fact doubles in the next 10 years (and it could more than double), this will be bad news for the US dollar and interest rates, which in turn is bad news for stocks. As you might expect, the liberal media is not talking about these new debt numbers, so I will lay it all out for you this week. Feel free to pass this week's E-Letter on to others - we need to get out the word!...
  • The End of America's Financial Independence?

    President Barack Obama recently set the wheels in motion to render the ultimate control of our large financial institutions, large insurance companies, large hedge funds and quite possibly our financial markets as well, to a foreign entity. A new international regulatory agency was created at the recent G-20 Summit in London, and all G-20 countries signed onto it. Sadly, you probably have not heard a word about it until now. Prepare to be outraged as you read what follows....
  • Who Will Buy America’s Trillions In New Debt?

    Since taking office on January 20, President Barack Obama has proposed new government spending of almost $3 trillion dollars. Yes, $3 trillion consisting of his $787 billion "stimulus" package, up to $2 trillion in bank bailouts proposed by Treasury Secretary Geithner earlier this month, and another $275 billion for homeowners and mortgage companies that Obama announced last week. The question is, who is going to buy this gargantuan amount of US Treasury debt over the next few years? With the global recession, the largest foreign buyers of Treasuries, like China, Japan and Europe, may not be in a position to keep buying our debt. It now appears the US Federal Reserve will be called upon as the "lender of last resort," but the Fed will be forced to print these trillions in new money. That could trigger another round of big inflation (hyperinflation, some predict) in the coming years. This week, I will explore the implications of this record spending and borrowing. Be warned that what follows is not pretty, but it is what it is. The latest plunge in the stock markets is indicative of just how precarious the situation is. As investors, we need to understand what is happening and how to react to it. Let's get started....
  • Throwing Trillions Around Like Crazy

    President Obama will sign into law the largest single spending bill un US history, $787 billion, today in Denver. No one knows if it will work. Last Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner announced a massive bank bailout plan that will spend $1.5-$2 trillion or more, but he failed to provide many details on how this rescue package will work. The stock markets have been in a tailspin ever since. There is growing talk of nationalizing many of our large banks. While I'm against nationalization, I have included a very interesting article by Dr. Nouriel Roubini, a well-known economist. I think you should read it, if for no other reason than to be informed on the subject....