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EquiTrend Market Watch

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Have You Seen This?

  • Trading in a very tight range

    In This Issue:

    Stocks stuck in a trading range...
    Leaders head down
    PEs still showing 'earnings-less' recovery
    New home sales down, re-sales up and final GDP number in
    Uptrend still alive but...
    Elliott Wave SPX Perspective

    Quote of the week
    'Stocks are the worst inflation hedge ever invented.' - John Brynjolfson, CIO Armored Wolf in a Bloomberg interview this week.

    Stocks stuck in a trading range...
    Stocks ended basically flat on the week with some sectors higher, and some lower as the consolidation continued. On a daily basis, stocks are now oversold which is positive short-term but remain overbought on a weekly basis.

    But are investors who are betting on higher prices being overly optimistic? As we said last week, the fundamentals and especially earnings are weak but both generally lag in a recovery. But at some point, both need to show steady improvement if a recovery is to grow legs....
  • Rally Continues Its March

    In This Issue:

    Rally just keeps on going...
    Leaders fall behind
    Earnings - Getting worse but not as fast...
    Home sales pick up at the expense of prices
    We're still in sell mode

    Quote of the week 'The main issue right now is that there's just a lot of [Treasury] supply out there. The Treasury is selling a lot more than the Fed is buying.' - Futures trader Arthur Bass. Demand from domestic and foreign institutions for the $34 billion five-year Treasury note auction was 30% this week, compared to 48.9% from the previous auction in February and an average of 30.1% for the last 10 auctions.

    Rally marches on...
    It was another good week for stocks driven higher by expectations that toxic bank assets would be finally removed from bank balance sheets by the taxpayer. Before Friday's 148-point drop, the Dow Industrials had gained an impressive 21% in just thirteen trading days.

    Stocks were further helped by some short-term good news in existing and new home markets which is really not good news at all. The difference is that investors are now interpreting bad news by buying more stocks and that is a good sign as it shows sentiment is becoming more bullish....