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EquiTrend Market Watch

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Have You Seen This?

  • Rally now six weeks young...

    In This Issue:

    Rally six weeks old...
    Leaders down... no there back up again...
    Earnings, still not real signs of improvement
    Treasury sales still falling, so are housing permits and starts


    Quote of the week
    "Anyone who is doing anything sensible right now is either losing money or is out of the market entirely," Quant trader "who is seeing something scary in the capital markets" in article by Tyler Durham.

    Rally now six weeks young...
    This rally marked its sixth-week birthday this week. Since hitting its low in the first week of March, the S&P500 is up 28% with Financials leading the pack. But that being said, this and most other major indexes are getting really stretched (overbought) and 89% of the stocks in the SPX index are above their 50-day moving averages (DMA), which is the highest level since mid-2006 according to Bespoke. Last week we mentioned that the index was 8% above its 50-DMA and that extended to 9.6% this week. Another challenge that faces stocks this week is that major indexes are getting close to bumping up against key resistance areas that taken together with how overbought stocks are across the board, increases the chances for a correction....
  • Rally Continues Its March

    In This Issue:

    Rally just keeps on going...
    Leaders fall behind
    Earnings - Getting worse but not as fast...
    Home sales pick up at the expense of prices
    We're still in sell mode

    Quote of the week 'The main issue right now is that there's just a lot of [Treasury] supply out there. The Treasury is selling a lot more than the Fed is buying.' - Futures trader Arthur Bass. Demand from domestic and foreign institutions for the $34 billion five-year Treasury note auction was 30% this week, compared to 48.9% from the previous auction in February and an average of 30.1% for the last 10 auctions.

    Rally marches on...
    It was another good week for stocks driven higher by expectations that toxic bank assets would be finally removed from bank balance sheets by the taxpayer. Before Friday's 148-point drop, the Dow Industrials had gained an impressive 21% in just thirteen trading days.

    Stocks were further helped by some short-term good news in existing and new home markets which is really not good news at all. The difference is that investors are now interpreting bad news by buying more stocks and that is a good sign as it shows sentiment is becoming more bullish....
  • After two weeks up what will happen this week?

    In This Issue:

    Rally just keeps on going...
    Leaders fall behind
    Earnings - Yup, still getting worse
    Net Treasury capital outflow hits a record
    Builder's sentiment bearish despite blip in starts
    We're still in sell mode
    Elliott Wave says rally will keep going

    Quote of the week
    "Everyone is saying that we're going to go back and test the lows, but you know, the market doesn't usually reward the consensus view." - Craig Hodges, portfolio manager for Hodges Capital Management.

    Rally just keeps on going...
    It was certainly a week of news driven markets. First there was dancing on Wall Street when news was released Tuesday that housing starts jumped 22% causing the market to rally nearly 180 points. Clearly investors had no intention of looking this gift horse in the mouth. Maybe it had something to do with the luck of the Irish and all that green beer being poured in pubs in New York...

    ...