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EquiTrend Market Watch

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Have You Seen This?

  • Trading in a very tight range

    In This Issue:

    Stocks stuck in a trading range...
    Leaders head down
    PEs still showing 'earnings-less' recovery
    New home sales down, re-sales up and final GDP number in
    Uptrend still alive but...
    Elliott Wave SPX Perspective

    Quote of the week
    'Stocks are the worst inflation hedge ever invented.' - John Brynjolfson, CIO Armored Wolf in a Bloomberg interview this week.

    Stocks stuck in a trading range...
    Stocks ended basically flat on the week with some sectors higher, and some lower as the consolidation continued. On a daily basis, stocks are now oversold which is positive short-term but remain overbought on a weekly basis.

    But are investors who are betting on higher prices being overly optimistic? As we said last week, the fundamentals and especially earnings are weak but both generally lag in a recovery. But at some point, both need to show steady improvement if a recovery is to grow legs....
  • Rally on hold...

    In This Issue:

    Rally on hold...
    Leaders not heading higher
    'Earnings-less' recovery continues
    Builder optimism stutters, starts surge and Treasury sales fall
    Wall of Worry climb takes a break or...?
    Elliott Wave SPX Perspective


    Quote of the week
    - Randy Johnson, president Independence Mortgage Co., California.

    Rally on hold...
    Stocks took a break this week and volumes were noticeably lower as many traders began their summer vacations. But investors remain bullish and continue to ignore or at least discount bad news for the most part and that alone speaks volumes about this market....
  • Consolidation continues

    In This Issue:

    Rally on hold...
    Leaders move up
    Earnings still weakening
    Builders get more optimistic but no support from data
    Elliott Wave SPX Perspective


    Quote of the week
    "I used to take $300 for the week -- that was walking- around money. Now I take $100 for the week. Forget about ordering sushi for lunch." Former Bear Stearns trader Guy Irace.

    Rally on hold...
    Now ten-weeks old, the rally spent a second consecutive week consolidating, with the standout exception of the emerging market ETF which moved more than 5% higher. Up more than 30% from its March 6 low, the S&P500 index is still 4% above its 50-day moving average....
  • Leaders languish...

    In This Issue:

    Rally backs off...
    Leaders languish
    Earnings continue to weaken
    Trade deficit rises, Treasury sales inch higher
    Market Yin and Yang
    Elliott Wave SPX Perspective


    Quote of the week
    "Even though economics is a very old subject, it has not truly come to grips with the main difficulty, which is the inordinate practical importance of a few extreme events." Benoit Mandelbrot (1983)

    Rally backs off...
    After nine weeks of gains, the rally finally came to an end this week with all-red across the board for the major indexes. Up 36% from its March 6 low last week, the S&P500 gave back 5% this week but the index is still nearly 6% above its 50-day moving average. And as we see below, earnings continue to decline...

    ...