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Have You Seen This?

  • Rally takes a breather?

    In This Issue

    Rally takes a breather?
    Leaders bounce back again...
    Earnings forecasts show signs of hope
    Existing and new home sales fall
    Waiting for Case-Shiller
    Treasury demand surges as spending soars


    Quote of the week
    'Tax receipts are just collapsing. [The need to sell more debt] is a big issue in the Treasury market and it is ongoing. The surging budget deficit is the primary cause.' Head Stamford UBS Securities interest-rate strategist Chris Ahrens.

    Rally takes a break?
    It has now been seven weeks since this rally began and this week stocks took a break. Since hitting its low in the first week of March, the S&P500 is up nearly 28%. Last week we mentioned that the S&P500 index was 9.6% above its 50-DMA and that is about where it stayed this week (9.5%) so stocks remain overbought. But indexes are also still banging up against key resistance areas that taken together with how overbought stocks are across the board, increases the chances for a correction. And now this rally is losing momentum. If prices hold up it will show that investor demand and interest in stocks is increasing despite the technicals pointing to a drop. But that must be considered a long shot....
  • Longest running streak of weekly gains in eighteen months

    In This Issue:

    Rally still going...
    Leaders lagging
    The new earnings season kicks off
    Case-Shiller index implies worst home price declines may be over
    Economic metrics also leveling
    We're still in sell mode

    Quote of the week
    'Investors are still heavily in cash and the challenge they are facing is how to scale back into growth-oriented investments. For that reason, technology leadership is not surprising given many are flush with cash and little debt,' - David Kreinces, a portfolio manager with ETF Portfolio Management.

    Rally still going...
    It was another good week for the bulls. As Dan explained this week from his Miami home, there is a lot of cash on the sidelines looking to get into the market. Despite the fact that we are still bear market, cash doesn't do much good if it isn't working which is why this rally has been so explosive But the fact that pundits like Jim Cramer are so confident that a new bull market has begun is a bearish omen. At true market bottoms, the majority including the Jim Cramers of the world, have given up, and this is most certainly not the case now.

    ...