June 2009 - EquiTrend Market Watch

EquiTrend Market Watch

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Have You Seen This?

  • Trading in a very tight range

    In This Issue:

    Stocks stuck in a trading range...
    Leaders head down
    PEs still showing 'earnings-less' recovery
    New home sales down, re-sales up and final GDP number in
    Uptrend still alive but...
    Elliott Wave SPX Perspective

    Quote of the week
    'Stocks are the worst inflation hedge ever invented.' - John Brynjolfson, CIO Armored Wolf in a Bloomberg interview this week.

    Stocks stuck in a trading range...
    Stocks ended basically flat on the week with some sectors higher, and some lower as the consolidation continued. On a daily basis, stocks are now oversold which is positive short-term but remain overbought on a weekly basis.

    But are investors who are betting on higher prices being overly optimistic? As we said last week, the fundamentals and especially earnings are weak but both generally lag in a recovery. But at some point, both need to show steady improvement if a recovery is to grow legs....
  • Rally on hold...

    In This Issue:

    Rally on hold...
    Leaders not heading higher
    'Earnings-less' recovery continues
    Builder optimism stutters, starts surge and Treasury sales fall
    Wall of Worry climb takes a break or...?
    Elliott Wave SPX Perspective


    Quote of the week
    - Randy Johnson, president Independence Mortgage Co., California.

    Rally on hold...
    Stocks took a break this week and volumes were noticeably lower as many traders began their summer vacations. But investors remain bullish and continue to ignore or at least discount bad news for the most part and that alone speaks volumes about this market....
  • Rally off and running again...

    In This Issue:

    Rally off and running again...
    Leaders on hold
    Earnings still in the tank
    Home prices still falling but sales off the lows
    Next weekly newsletter June 14...

    Quote of the week
    "There's consternation in the stock market. If we see a pick-up in long-term yields, an economic recovery will be much more difficult. That concern could be enough to halt the recent stock rally."
    - Russ Koesterich Barclays Global Investors, San Francisco

    Rally off and running again...
    Stocks rallied strongly on Tuesday following the Memorial Day holiday based on a strong showing in the Conference Board's consumer confidence indicator which is interesting - we have found this metric to be of little trading value. However, investors chose to ignore the most recent Case-Shiller home price index that showed home prices continue falling at an accelerating rate....