March 2009 - EquiTrend Market Watch

EquiTrend Market Watch

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Have You Seen This?

  • Rally Continues Its March

    In This Issue:

    Rally just keeps on going...
    Leaders fall behind
    Earnings - Getting worse but not as fast...
    Home sales pick up at the expense of prices
    We're still in sell mode

    Quote of the week 'The main issue right now is that there's just a lot of [Treasury] supply out there. The Treasury is selling a lot more than the Fed is buying.' - Futures trader Arthur Bass. Demand from domestic and foreign institutions for the $34 billion five-year Treasury note auction was 30% this week, compared to 48.9% from the previous auction in February and an average of 30.1% for the last 10 auctions.

    Rally marches on...
    It was another good week for stocks driven higher by expectations that toxic bank assets would be finally removed from bank balance sheets by the taxpayer. Before Friday's 148-point drop, the Dow Industrials had gained an impressive 21% in just thirteen trading days.

    Stocks were further helped by some short-term good news in existing and new home markets which is really not good news at all. The difference is that investors are now interpreting bad news by buying more stocks and that is a good sign as it shows sentiment is becoming more bullish....
  • After two weeks up what will happen this week?

    In This Issue:

    Rally just keeps on going...
    Leaders fall behind
    Earnings - Yup, still getting worse
    Net Treasury capital outflow hits a record
    Builder's sentiment bearish despite blip in starts
    We're still in sell mode
    Elliott Wave says rally will keep going

    Quote of the week
    "Everyone is saying that we're going to go back and test the lows, but you know, the market doesn't usually reward the consensus view." - Craig Hodges, portfolio manager for Hodges Capital Management.

    Rally just keeps on going...
    It was certainly a week of news driven markets. First there was dancing on Wall Street when news was released Tuesday that housing starts jumped 22% causing the market to rally nearly 180 points. Clearly investors had no intention of looking this gift horse in the mouth. Maybe it had something to do with the luck of the Irish and all that green beer being poured in pubs in New York...

    ...
  • Does this bounce have legs?

    IN THIS ISSUE:

    Reversal gains traction
    Leaders soar with the pack
    Earnings - Still getting worse
    Scant economic news, a good thing...
    But is this rally running on empty?

    Quote of the week
    "Few doubt the importance of consumer spending on the U.S. economy and its multiplier effect on the global economy, but what is underappreciated is the role of credit-card availability in that spending," - Meredith Whitney in the Wall Street Journal article this week entitled Credit cards are the next credit crunch.

    Reversal gains traction...
    After four weeks in a row of losses across the board, stocks made gains and impressive ones at that with the major indexes (except the Dow) making double-digit gains. But there are signs that this brief albeit powerful bear market rally may already be on its last legs.

    ...
  • Catching a Falling Safe

    IN THIS ISSUE:

    Stocks fall, a reversal afoot?
    Leaders fall with the pack
    Earnings - Any one have a tourniquet?
    Bad economic news but good market action?
    Looking forward

    Quote of the week
    "All the major [US] banks are basically insolvent at this point. Until that changes and until credit gets flowing again, it's hard to see how we have any real recovery." - David P. Prokupek, chief executive of the Denver portfolio manager Geronimo Partners in Bloomberg article Thursday.

    Stocks sink again but is there a reversal afoot?
    Stocks sank for the fourth consecutive week of across the board losses for the major indexes but an interesting thing happened in the last hour of trading. At 3:26PM Friday New York time, the Dow Industrial declines stopped almost on a dime and the index...

    ...