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  • Retail Sales could support calls for a September taper...

    In This Issue.

    * Retail Sales expected to support an earlier taper...

    * Yen falls after Japan's economy slows more than forecast...

    * Euro area emerges from recession...

    * Gold pushes higher...

    ...
  • A Jobs Jamboree Friday!

    In This Issue.

    * Euro finishes its rally week on high note.

    * Yen continues to benefit from repatriation.

    * Draghi sounds upbeat.

    * China prepares its curb appeal.

    ...
  • Brazil Drops Tax On Foreign Investment.

    In This Issue.

    * Euro rallies, A$ continues to get whacked.

    * Yen continues to benefit from repatriation.

    * ECB & BOE meet today.

    * China braces for weak exports data.

    ...
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  • Bad News Begins To Build Up Against The Dollar.

    In This Issue.

    * Draghi sounds upbeat, euro soars.

    * Gold adds $20!

    * A$ reaches for the stars.

    * Yen weakness continues.

    ...
  • US Treasury Secretary warns the debt ceiling will be hit in 4 days...

    In This Issue.

    * Debt ceiling awaits...

    * European confidence propels the euro higher...

    * Taylor predicts the yen will continue to fall...

    * The Big Boss shares some thoughts...

    ...
  • Waiting For "Something To Happen".

    In This Issue.

    * Euro attempts a rally.

    * Spain has no problems with auction.

    * Yen flies beneath the radar.

    * U.S. Retail Sales should be strong.

    ...
  • The Flight To Safety Returns...

    In This Issue..

    * Dollar, yen, francs & Gold rally...

    * Yen hits 15-year high VS dollar...

    * Will the BOJ intervene?

    * Aussie job data gets revised down...

    And Now... Today's Pfennig!

    ...
  • Moodys Again...

    In This Issue..

    * Currencies are mixed VS dollar...
    * Canadian credit & economy on the mend!
    * China to print a very strong GDP number?
    * Gold is back above $1,200....

    Good day... And a Terrific Tuesday to you! I'm writing from home this morning, because I go back to the Ocularist this morning to have more work done on my new 'eye'... I didn't sleep worth a darn last night, and I think I just had this visit on my mind.

    Well.. Speaking of something on one's mind.. Or, more like a case of too much too little too late, Moodys announced overnight that they were downgrading Portugal's debt rating, 2 levels to A1... I don't want to get started on these ratings agencies again, they have become as useless as a pay toilet in a diarrhea ward! Ok... That probably wasn't too good to start off today's letter with a saying like that, but... It's what my fat fingers typed, so it stays!...
  • Jobs Disappoint Again!

    In This Issue..

    * Euro falls below 1.20...
    * Did we have negative "real" job creation?
    * Canada's labor market is strong...
    * G-20 yields nothing...

    Good day... And a Marvelous Monday to you! It was a wonderful jam-packed weekend for yours truly, and when the alarm went off this morning, I had a greater appreciation for 3-day weekends!

    Well... Friday, when I was signing off, I said that suddenly the currencies were getting sold... At that time, it looked as if it might be short-lived... But NOOOOOOOOOOOOOO! This was an all-out assault on risk, folks... At when the dust settled in the early afternoon, the euro had fallen below 1.20, for the first time since 2005, and everything other currency was getting whacked too... For the first time all week though, Gold rallied......
  • Now It's Spain...

    In This Issue..

    * Euro drops 2-cents overnight...
    * All Risk is taken off the table today...
    * Geopolitical problems steady Gold...
    * The Budget Cuts just keep coming!

    Good day... And a Terrific Tuesday to you! Well, it was almost a "perfect ride" to work this morning, as I hit all the green lights until the very end! UGH! See, it doesn't take much to make me happy!

    The euro's green light ended last night too, as 'Now It's Spain' (NIS)... As I was packing up to go home yesterday afternoon, the euro had moved beyond 1.24, and I said, 'I wonder what's got the euro so perky this afternoon'... Well, that 'perky' feeling the euro had at that time was wiped out and more by fears that Spain's problems are now going to take center stage... Greece is an afterthought at this point, now it's Spain......
  • The Wolves Are Always At The Door!

    In This Issue..

    * Euro rally falls on its face!
    * Dollars, yen, and Gold highlight the day...
    * More on the ratings agencies...
    * What, me worry about inflation?

    Good day... And a Terrific Tuesday to you! It's rainy and cold here in St. Louis... Not exactly 'May weather'... But then, you've got to experience this kind of weather, to enjoy the blue umbrella skies, and sunshine, warm days!

    Well... The sunshine for the euro only lasted about 12 hours... Yesterday, when I signed off, I said that the euro had come back from 1.3094 to 1.30, and we would need to see what the NY boys and girls thought of the aid package to get a clear direction for the euro... Well, the NY boys and girls didn't think much of the aid package, and their feelings were soon to show up in the currency trading... Almost all of the euro's gains, and those of the other currencies affected by the Eurozone problems, were wiped out... Completely! The euro is now trading lower than it was when we left for happy hour on Friday afternoon! UGH! But... Shoot Rudy, I said yesterday, that while I liked the package for its calming affect on the markets, I didn't like it for the debt... Well, the calming affect is gone, so we're left with debt......
  • Roller coaster ride for the dollar...

    In This Issue..
    * Bernanke sees rates remaining low...
    * Greece continues to weigh on the euro...
    * Yen climbs vs euro...
    * India's economy expands...

    Good day... We finally got a bit of the volatility we've been looking for yesterday, as the markets moved dramatically as the Fed Chief testified before congress. But overnight the Asians had a different opinion and moved the dollar back up. So the currency markets were pretty much like a roller coaster ride, moving dramatically up and down but ending up pretty much right back where we started. I'll begin where we left off yesterday, the Fed Chairman's testimony to the House Financial Services committee.

    As we expected, the Fed Chairman told the committee members that Fed will keep interest rates near record low levels for several more months as the 'nascent' recovery remains fragile. The dollar immediately sold off as currency traders who had bet on an early jump in US interest rates reversed their dollar long positions. But in taking a page right out of Greenspan's book, Bernanke tried his best to play to both sides of the House, saying that 'Private final demand does seem to be growing at a moderate pace....' and telling the congressmen that the Fed will need to start tightening policy 'at some point'....
  • German Investor Confidence Fades...

    In This Issue..

    * The dollar rallies on weak German data...
    * Stronger overall data for the U.S. last week...
    * JAL files bankruptcy and yen rallies...
    * Bank of Canada meets today...

    Good day... And a Terrific Tuesday to you! I hope you all had the opportunity to enjoy a 3-day weekend... I realize that not everyone has the opportunity, so I don't want to sound like I'm rubbing it in... It's really foggy outside this morning. I live in a little river town outside of St. Louis, and we get fog there all the time, but once I cross the river, it dissipates quickly... But not this morning, the fog was with me all the way to work! Something right out of an old-time horror movie with Lon Chaney...

    Well... Yesterday, I was doing quite a bit of reading, after suffering 'football overload', which by the way, were not very good games... Sure, good for the winning teams' fans, but I didn't have a dog in any of those fights, so I just wanted to see a good game, only to be disappointed... OK, now back to my reading...

    I was reading a good, thoughtful story about how currency swings could be dying down, as we return to fundamentals... You know, me... I jumped from my chair, and click my heels together in joy! OK, no, I'm not physically able to do that any longer, so I did it in my mind! But a return to fundamentals? I'm all over that like a cheap suit! One of the fundamentals that the story highlighted that would be taken into consideration by traders, would be interest rate differentials... Which, I've always considered to be a strong reason to own a currency, but not the 'end-all'......
  • Green Light, Green Light!

    In This Issue..

    * FOMC minutes make it a Risk On Day!
    * Gold hits $1,180!
    * Germany's ZEW is bang on with their forecast!
    * Russia to buy loonies?

    It's a Risk On Day, full on, no 'kind of' today! Or at least that's how it looks as I begin to write this morning... The Big Dog, euro, is back over 1.50 this morning, and Gold is trading at $1,177! What brought about this full on Risk On day?

    Well... It was the Fed's FOMC meeting minutes... And, when I read what the Fed Heads had to say, I had one song in my mind... Hey! You! Get off of my cloud! Because that's where their collective heads are with these minutes, folks... The Fed Heads viewed the U.S. economy on firmer footing and expects the growth to continue in the 4th QTR... Yeah, right, and I've got some swamp land I'd like to sell you! Snake Oil salesmen these guys!

    Any way... The Fed Heads also said that the dollar's depreciation had been 'orderly'... With no mention of doing anything to stop the depreciation! Green light, Green light, Green light... How many of these Green lights do traders and you need to realize that the Fed isn't going to stop the dollar's decline? And How about the Treasury? Oh! That's right, they're too busy shoving negative yields down people's throats! OK, I'm getting all ticked off, and I really don't feel like doing that today, so I'm going to talk about something else, fast!...
  • The dollar drifts lower in thin trading..

    In This Issue..

    * US$ drifts lower in light trading...                    
    * Euro/Yen benefit from reserve diversification...                      
    * Pound sterling continues to drop...                                    
    * New Zealand retail sales pick up.....
                                                                                 
    Good day... and happy Tuesday morning to everyone.  As Chuck told everyone yesterday, he is heading down south to a corporate meeting, so you will be stuck with me for the remainder of the week.  Yesterday was an official 'bank holiday' but apparently most of the WorldMarkets customers were unaware, as our phones were surprisingly busy.  Trading in the currency markets was substantially lighter than usual, and with no data releases in the US, the dollar drifted sideways throughout the day.  The European currencies were slightly higher vs. the US$, the Asian currencies were lower vs. the US$, and the commodity based currencies were mixed.

    ...