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  • Chairman Bernanke keeps the money flowing...

    In This Issue.

    * FOMC decides to keep the presses running...

    * Growth in the US drops during the 4th quarter...

    * Mixed data keeps the euro steady...

    * RBNZ maintains a stable path...

    ...
    Filed under: , , , ,
  • China & Australia Team Up!

    In This Issue..

    * Risk is back ON!

    * Aussie GDP prints strong!

    * Home Prices rise in June...

    * Canadian GDP weakens...

    ...
  • Risk Aversion Returns!

    In This Issue..

    * Spending outpaces Income...

    * Risk assets get sold after Spending report...

    * Aussie data is strong...

    * Canada's Current Account Deficit Widens...

    ...
  • 2nd QTR GDP Really Disappoints!

    In This Issue..

    * A flat trading day in currencies...

    * Bullard says that Fed needs to be "disciplined."

    * After 15 years, Japan is still "stimulating the economy"

    * Treasury yields rise... Is it a sign?

    ...
  • 2nd QTR GDP Today...

    In This Issue..

    * A flat trading day in currencies...

    * 473,000 newly unemployed last week...

    * Kan ready to take "bold action"...

    * Ludwig von Mises on a Friday!

    ...
  • China Is Number 2!

    In This Issue..

    * Retail Sales Are Soft...

    * TIC data today...

    * A$ hangs on to 89...

    * Gold adds another $6...

    And Now... Today's Pfennig!

    ...
  • Retail Sales Disappoint! – 7/15/10

    In This Issue..

    * China's GDP moderates...
    * Spain has successful bond auction...
    * Fed's FOMC minutes disappoint...
    * euro returns to 1.28!

    Good day... And a Tub Thumpin' Thursday to you! It's July the 15th, so the month is already half-over... Unbelievable! Day 80-something with the Oil leak... I know the Russian scientists' claims about the Gulf sea bed being damaged are pretty scary and unfounded at this point, but, when the plans to put a cap on the well get delayed, you have to wonder a bit, eh?

    OK... No need to spend a day on that! Hey! The currencies are in rally mode again this morning, after a strong, but not a as strong GDP report from China last night. Chinese 2nd QTR GDP printed at 10.3%, which is quite a drop from the 11.9% they printed in the 1st QTR of this year... But, I've got two things to say about this......
  • Desperately Seeking Yield...

    In This Issue..

    * Currencies rally...
    * More on the BRIC's...
    * New Zealand's GDP contracts..
    * Bernanke gets grilled!

    Good day... And a Happy Friday to one and all! The end of what seemed to be a very long week... The last weekend in June, can you believe that? Next week, we'll be getting ready for the 4th of July celebrations! WOW!

    Well... What a volatile week it has been in the currencies! Up, down, all around, and settling back to levels that we saw before the Fed's FOMC meeting earlier this week. Suddenly, investors are looking for yield again... Looks like they are "Desperately Seeking (not Susan) Yield! And why not? The Fed, and the Bank of Canada (BOC) have come out and said that there will be no interest rate hikes until we've turned quite a few pages on the 2010 calendar....
  • Increasing SDR Issuance...

    In This Issue..

    * Fed confuses markets, risk assets get sold...
    * SNB intervenes to stop franc's rise
    * ECB issues 12-month liquidity...
    * Bernanke to get grilled?

    Good day... And a Tub Thumpin' Thursday to you! Yes, I know the currencies and commodities got whipsawed yesterday, and my Cardinals got spanked, but that's no reason for us to not enjoy a Tub Thumpin' Thursday! Every day is a gift, and it has nothing to do with stocks, bonds, currencies, and commodities!

    OK... Not that I try to be philosophical, sometimes it just comes out that way! Besides, you don't want to think that I'm just a smart *** all the time! HAHAHAHAHAHA!

    Well, as I said in the open, the currencies and commodities got whipsawed yesterday, and the culprit was the FOMC minutes... You see, the Fed Reserve met to discuss rates, and other items. And what they said just blew away the bond vigilantes, and really ticked off the Hawks, but in the end, what they said, was really that things will remain status quo......
  • A shrinking US economy puts pressure on the US$...

    In This Issue..

    * US GDP falls more than expected...
    * FOMC holds course...
    * Canadian dollar has a great week...
    * Oil helps commodity currencies...

    Good day... Yesterday was a big day in St. Louis as President Obama came to visit on his 100th day in office. I can't believe it has been 100 days since the inauguration. Time sure does fly! I'm sure Obama and the rest of his administration would like the calendar to move even faster as this recession will likely last through the end of 2009. While the government has thrown trillions of dollars at the markets in an attempt to turn them around, the key ingredient for recessionary cycles to reverse is time. There is now 'quick fix' for the problems we are in, and the policies the administration has begun will take time to have an impact on our shrinking economy. Obama said as much in his nationally televised press conference last night....
  • Dollar falls as US consumer confidence increases...

    In This Issue..

    * Dollar falls as US consumers become more positive...
    * GDP to be reported this morning...
    * European confidence increases...
    * Mexican peso recovers...

    Good day... Hopefully this will reach everyone today. We have been having some computer problems causing some major delays in the delivery of your Pfennig. As Chuck always says, if you need your Pfennig, just go to www.dailypfennig.com where it is posted each morning as soon as I hit the send button. For those of you who feel the need, the website also has an archive, so you can all read what I had to say yesterday. But enough about our email problems, you all want to know what is happening in the markets.

    The dollar began the day trading in a fairly tight range, but a fairly large jump in US consumer confidence sent the US$ tumbling. Yes, the old 'opposite' trading pattern has begun again. When we have good news regarding the US and global economies, the US$ gets sold. But when the data is bad, the dollar is purchased as a safe haven. Yesterday both pieces of data released in the US were more positive than most economists expected, so the dollar gave back some of its recent 'safe haven' gains....
  • US$ benefits from the swine flu...

    In This Issue..

    * Swine flu causes rush to US$...
    * The US$ wins no matter what??
    * US Treasury starts a busy week...
    * Chinese Renminbi moves back up..

    Good day... And welcome to another week. Chuck headed off to Bermuda on Saturday, so you are all stuck with me for the whole week. Both he and Frank will be giving presentations at the Sovereign Society's Total Wealth Symposium; Frank representing EverBank and Chuck representing his paid newsletter, Currency Capitalist (www.worldcurrencywatch.com). Frank and Chuck probably log more miles than anyone else in the company, and while it may sound like fun to travel to all of the exotic locals, travel is tough. And with the big news over the weekend, airplanes and airports are the last place I would want to be right now....
  • German Business Confidence Falls...

    * The euro gives back 1-cent... * The Economist agrees with Chuck! * RBNZ takes a shot at kiwi... * FOMC week! ** German Business Confidence Falls... Good day... And a Marvelous Monday to you! Friday turned out to be Fantastico, as I hoped it would, and it ended with a nice surprise retirement party for long colleague, John Kaupisch. I couldn't talk about it Friday, because it was a surprise... But it was real nice, and John was surprised... His last day is July 3... First guy to retire here... I'll probably be the next, but with a 13-year old, I doubt that happens any time in the near future! The currencies held steady Eddie on Friday, with the euro popping up to 1.5660 at one point, only to end the day around 1.5620. Still, a nice day given all the negativity the euro had been receiving because of the Fed's rhetoric, and other minor stuff in the Eurozone... Overnight though, the euro has gotten treated like a red headed step child (OK no nasty comments, it's just a saying). The German Business Confidence as measured by the think tank, IFO, fell to the lowest level in more than two years this month... Business leaders are feeling the pinch of record Oil prices and the threat of higher interest rates....
  • The Fed Follows Through...

    * Fed follows through... * GDP holds positive... * BOJ keeps rates unchanged... * Gold continues to drop......