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  • Central bank intervention is the reason...

    * Central Bank intervention is the reason... * Busy data week... * Australia's central bank to mirror the BOE?... * China to slow appreciation ... ** Central bank intervention is the reason... Good day... I know most of you opened the Pfennig up this morning hoping to get a blast of Chuck's witty writing style. Well the airlines arranged for Chuck to stay in San Francisco a little longer, so you'll have to wait another day. The currency markets continued to get hammered by the US$ on Friday with the dollar index climbing all the way back above 76, a level we haven't seen since mid February. The dollar did sell off a bit in early European trading, but it has started to climb again as I write. Several readers sent me an excellent opinion piece by James Turk which appeared on GoldMoney's website. Mr. Turk points to central bank intervention as a major reason for the recent dollar strength. The article agrees with what I was saying last week; that the dollar has no fundamental reason to be rallying. The reports and news out of the US have not been favorable to the greenback, and the twin deficits in the US continue to soar out of control. I mentioned that the recent moves of the dollar smacked of intervention, as the dollar only wanted to move in one direction, ignoring any data which would typically send it back down. Turk points to some data which backs up this intervention theory....
  • Dollar continues to slide...

    * Dollar continues to slide... * Housing bailout passes congress... * Chinese Renmibi falls... * Aussie dollar peaked?... ** Dollar continues to slide... Good day... And welcome to the last week of July. I spent the past week fishing with my son and father in law up in Manitoba, Canada. We had some great weather, and caught an absolute ton of Walleye and Pike. My son caught a Pike almost as long as he is tall. Just a great guys trip; but enough about my time off, I'm back at work now, so lets get to the currency markets. The dollar continued to slide throughout Friday's trading as concern of further US credit losses trumped some negative data released in Europe. The dollar dropped for a second day against the Euro after a story in the Financial Times quoted Gary Stern, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, saying the credit crunch will worsen. Nothing new here, but as Chuck stated in Friday's Pfennig, currency traders continue to play the game of "Who's Data is Worse" with the US economic data coming in even worse than the rest of the world....
  • A Big Data Week!

    * Some healing in the currencies... * U of Mich. Confidence falls... * Unloading Treasuries? * Turning the tables in N.Z.?...
  • Jobs Fall 80,000!

    * Labor picture looks awful... * Does this look like a recession now? * Aussie Trade Deficit widens... * China about to trade with a 6!...
  • Another Bad Week for the Dollar...

    * Another bad week for the dollar... * A monoline bailout plan in the works? * Kiwi near a 22-year high! * Precious metals are telling us something......