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  • A Jobs Jamboree Friday – 6/4/2010

    In This Issue..

    * Euro gets beaten down again...
    * Why should we do anything now?
    * Brazil keeping inflation away...
    * ADP says 55,000 jobs created in May...

    Good day... And a Happy Friday to one and all! I suspect this will end up being a Fantastico Friday, but right now, not so much... Today is the Big Jobs Jamboree, and the cable news stations are spinning it quite nicely. So nicely put that stock jockeys are believing the spin and running stock futures higher. I've got that to talk about today, and more debt stuff... Believe me dear reader, I wish I didn't have to talk about this debt stuff, but I feel as though me and a few of my friends are the only ones doing so, and I don't want you to become like the rest of the country and become 'comfortably numb' with the deficit figures!...
  • "Fat Fingers"?

    In This Issue..

    * Euro bounces off lows...
    * Stocks bounce off lows too...
    * Jobs Jamboree Friday!
    * Canada's jobs soar!

    Good day... And a Happy Friday to one and all! A Fantastico Friday for me, as I head to a weekend from work in the first time in a month of Sundays! Big news came across my desk for all us EverBankers and friends... Our Marketing Guru, Jason Coots, saw the delivery of his brand new baby boy yesterday... Welcome Sam Coots!

    OK... Front and Center this morning is all the hootin' and hollerin' about the stock market move yesterday... At one point it was down 1,000 points... That's right, I did not let my 'fat fingers' mess that up... However, someone on Wall Street apparently did, as they meant to enter a trade to sell 'millions' of shares of Procter & Gamble, but entered 'Billions'... That's Billions with a capital 'B', as Ronald Reagan used to say! Upon discovering the 'fat fingers' error order was restored... However, the problem here is that stocks were down BIG TIME before the 'fat fingers' error... It was a bad day a red rock for stocks......
  • A Rate Hike For Australia...

    In This Issue..

    * Euro continues to get sold...
    * RBA shocks markets with statement...
    * Brazilian real bucks the trend...
    * Gold continues to move higher...

    Good day... And a Terrific Tuesday to you! Thanks for all the 'Welcome Back' notes and e-mails yesterday... It helped make the day rush by in a heartbeat! Before I knew it, I was yawning, and getting tired, so... Out the door I went! But all-in-all, it was good to be back in the saddle, and to see all my colleagues here at EverBank again.

    Well... Front and Center this morning, is the fact that the NY boys and girls didn't like the Greek Bailout one iota yesterday, sending the single unit below 1.32... When the traders in Asia and London returned last night and this morning, they too did not like what they saw and sent the euro even lower......
  • Greek crisis is sooo yesterday...

    In This Issue..

    * Merkel urges action on Greece...
    * Brazil raises rates...
    * Sterling rises on UK election polls...
    * Precious metals continue to climb...

    Good day, and what a glorious day we had here in St. Louis. The sun was shining yesterday afternoon as the Cardinals completed their 4 game sweep of the Braves with a big 10-4 win. The day was capped off for Chuck and a bunch of his parrot-head friends with an outdoor concert from one of his faves - Jimmy Buffet. I'm sure they had a great time, as it is hard not to when the weather is perfect and Buffet is up on stage. Investors worldwide seemed to be in a better mood also. The worries of Greek sovereign defaults were in the past, and traders rushed back into currencies which could give them a yield advantage....
  • Clairvoyant Pundits?

    In This Issue..

    * Euro backs off yesterday's high...
    * More tough talk from Germany....
    * Brazil talks about weakening real...
    * Waiting on Aussie CPI tonight...

    Good day... And a Terrific Tuesday to you! It's still raining here, but forecast to stop today... The temperature dropped big time too, bringing back cold air... Little Delaney Grace, and I were bummed out that we couldn't go outside yesterday!

    Well... As the day went on yesterday, things got more mixed up... I kept reading news stories stating that the euro was falling VS the dollar, but all the while, the currency screen kept showing the euro rising, actually getting very close to 1.34 on the day...

    So, you can't always take what you hear or read as fact... Or... As Marvin Gaye would said years ago... People say believe half of what you see, Son, and none of what you hear....
  • US data comes in stronger than expected...

    In This Issue..

    * US data comes in stronger than expected...
    * Worries over Greece pushes dollar higher...
    * China grows at 11.9%...
    * Australia may look to pause?...

    Good day, it is tax day which is not usually a happy day for the 51% of the folks who have to pay the taxman. Chuck would take the opportunity to break into the Beatles song right now, but I'm not as good with lyrics, so you will just have to hum it in your head. The dollar was down in trading yesterday, as most of the data released was positive and emboldened traders to move money out of safe havens. But overnight the Asian markets decided to take the dollar higher, and the Europeans are continuing to buy greenbacks. I'll get to what caused the big change in a second, but first I will review all of the data we got yesterday morning....
  • Singapore announces a revaluation...

    In This Issue..

    * An Asian currency announces a revaluation...
    * Growth in the Asia-region benefits Australia...
    * Brazil to raise rates...
    * US trade deficit widens, pushing the dollar lower...

    Good day, it certainly was a good day here at EverBank yesterday. I will start today's Pfennig off with some good news which Chuck shared with the desk yesterday afternoon. The scans which he underwent last week came back clean, so the cancer is limited to the mass behind his eye, and hadn't spread to any other part of his body. This was just about as good as news as he could receive, and now he heads to the eye doctor to figure out a plan to deal with the mass. He wanted me to let everyone know how much he appreciates your emails of support....
  • US Dollar drifts, waiting for direction...

    In This Issue..

    * Dollar drifts waiting for direction...
    * How to profit from China's next move...
    * Brazil's real predicted to rise 10%...
    * An update from Chuck...

    Good day, and welcome to Tuesday. The Cardinals brought home a winner for the huge crowds down at Busch Stadium yesterday. As I mentioned, opening day is holiday around St. Louis, and Albert Pujols and his teammates gave the fans a terrific show. Currency traders seemed to take the day off yesterday along with thousands of Cardinal fans. The dollar drifted through the day, and continued to trade sideways in overnight trading in Asia....
  • Euro falls as Greece pushed toward IMF...

    In This Issue..

    * Euro falls as Greece pushed toward IMF...
    * Decision on Norwegian interest rates...
    * Canadian dollar rises...
    * Kiwi to outpace Australian dollar...

    Good day, the dollar gained ground across the board as the news hit that the IMF will be brought in to help rescue Greece. The dollar was also helped by data which showed existing housing sales fell by less than expected in February. We will get additional news on the status of the US economy today, with the release of durable goods and new home sales numbers for February. We will get a rate decision by the Norwegian central bank today, which could stoke calls for higher rates here in the US. But the big news overnight is concerning the euro (again!).

    The euro sold off by a full percentage point vs. the US$ after both Germany and France are reported to have agreed to have the IMF involved in aid to Greece. This is an about face for European leaders who announced last week that they had agreed on a European solution to the Greek crisis. But Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel threw a spanner in the works a week ago when she said Germany would not participate in giving Greece financial aid. This threw the euro into crisis mode again, as the 'agreement' reached early last week never materialized....
  • Japanese Investment Trusts To Buy A$'s?

    In This Issue..
    * Currencies recover from Discount rate hike...
    * Gold recovers too...
    * An idea for Greece...
    * Loonies fueled by Oil and Gold...

    Good day... And a Marvelous Monday to you! Happy Birthday George Washington! One of my fave past Presidents for sure! And I'm so excited about this, it can't wait until the last paragraph... How about that U.S. Men's Hockey VS Canada game last night? WOW! I had a reader ask me a couple of months ago why I didn't mention the U.S. Under 20 men's hockey Championship, which came against Canada... So there, hopefully I made up for that missing comment!

    Well... Front and Center this morning... Let's start with this... Consumer prices rose 0.2% in January, equaling the increases in December and November. Market expectations going into the report had been for a slightly larger 0.3% rise. Core prices surprisingly fell 0.1% in January following the 0.1% rise recorded in December and the flat reading in November. On a year-over-year basis, the overall CPI index rose 2.6% in December....
  • Risk Returns This Week...

    In This Issue..

    * Risk assets remain well bid overnight...
    * RBA Gov. Stevens talks hawkish about rates...
    * China reduces Treasury purchases for 5th straight month...
    * Brazil outperforms its BRIC colleagues!

    Good day... And a Wonderful Wednesday to you! WOW! Thanks so much for all the kind words sent along regarding the jazz bank performance... That sure is nice to know of all the very kind people / readers out there! Of course, I already knew that 3 years ago, when it was announced that I had cancer...

    OK... Front and Center this morning, we saw quite the rally in risk assets yesterday, all day, and all night! It was like the sea parted, the stars aligned, and the karma began to flow... The global economic recoveries came back into the thoughts of traders and investors, and the fears of Greece waned... It was as if none of the 'sky if falling' theatrics had gone on the past month!...
  • Germany Weighs Possible Bail Out...

    In This Issue..

    * Some healing in the currencies...
    * Brazilian real heats up!
    * Is there a secret central bankers meeting?
    * Aussie Confidence weakens...

    Good day... And a Wonderful Wednesday to you! It sure turned out to be a Terrific Tuesday yesterday, even with 5 inches of snow on the ground! There are rumors going round that someone's underground, and she will rock you, no wait, the rumors are... 1. There is a secret central bank meeting going on, and 2. that Germany is weighing bailout possibilities for Greece...

    The latter really lit a fire under the risk assets yesterday, allowing stocks, currencies and commodities to enjoy a day in the sun, away from the shade the dollar was casting on the risk assets. Stocks turned around and had a strong showing for the day, Gold was up $15, and currencies, led by the Brazilian real gained back some precious ground VS the dollar. I know that sounded a little strange saying 'led by the Brazilian real' as I normally associate the currencies being 'led by the euro'......
  • The dollar holds on..

    In This Issue..

    * The Dollar holds on...
    * Pimco is buying Brazilian bonds...
    * Surprising data from the Economist...
    * Chuck's thoughts from Orlando...

    Good day... Chuck spent an extra day in Florida, so he stayed home to recuperate today. I made it home Saturday night, and was a bit shocked by all of the ice and snow which covered my truck at the airport. I heard so much about the winter storm which rocked the east coast that I forgot to check the weather here at home. I am a bit behind this morning, as I stayed up a bit celebrating the Saints victory with friends.

    The dollar bulls were celebrating again on Friday, as the dollar rally continued. The recent strength in the US$ will probably continue this week, as it looks like it will be fairly uneventful as far as data releases. We won't have any reports out in the US today, and tomorrow will only bring the wholesale inventory number. Wednesday we will see December's trade balance along with the monthly budget statement for January. Both of these numbers will likely reflect an ever-growing deficit here in the US, with a 50 billion dollar monthly budget deficit, and a trade deficit just below 35 billion....
  • Global Growth Takes A Hit!

    In This Issue..

    * Back to the 'safe haven' trades...
    * The dollar hammers the euro!
    * ECB & BOE meet today...
    * Brazilian games with the real...

    Good day... And a Tub Thumpin' Thursday to you! On one hand it's tub Thumpin' because I'm here in what was sunny Florida yesterday... And on the other hand, it's not tub Thumpin' because I'm here in Florida! Yeah, writing on the road is not one of my fave things to do, but I'll struggle through it...

    Well... The news that Chris brought to you yesterday, regarding the mini-rally in the currencies, led by the euro climbing back to 1.40, was completely washed out by the time the wheels on his plane touched down here in Orlando yesterday afternoon. Chris had said as he signed off that the dollar was being bought right then, and he was right... And that buying of the dollar lasted all day!...
  • FOMC Day Today!

    In This Issue..

    * Markets in 'lock-down' mode...
    * Aussie Consumer inflation rises...
    * Brazilian Central Bank meets today...
    * David Galland and Bill Bonner together!

    Good day... And a Wonderful Wednesday to you! We're back to the frigid temps here in St. Louis, but, Shoot Rudy, IT IS January! So, I'm going to warm you up today with a collection of thoughts, not only mine, but a couple of my fave writers... David Galland, and Bill Bonner! WOW! A Dynamic Duo of writers if there ever was one! So... Let's get to the goings on in the currencies and then hit the collection of thoughts!

    When I signed off yesterday, the dollar was swinging the hammer, and all the non-dollar currencies, except Japanese yen, were getting nailed... That hammer swinging ended in the morning session here in the U.S., and the currencies did rebound a bit VS the dollar as I headed out the door for home... Overnight, we've seen no movement at all... Nothing, nada, zero, zilch, a great big goose egg, for currency movement......