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AIA Advocate for Absolute Returns

Syndication

Have You Seen This?

Have You Seen This?

  • Week of 08/28/2008

    In This Issue:

    Tensions Between The U.S. And Russia Are Serious
    Oil And Commodities React To The Threat
    Defense Stocks Look Even Better Than Last Week
    And So Does The Dollar
    Inflation vs Deflation Contest Heats Up
    But Inflation Should End Up With The Gold
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Last week the stock market revealed that it has more underlying strength than world events would seem to justify. If the market is once again acting as a leading indicator of the future, the outlook is brighter than is generally supposed.

    Despite the fact that a new cold war seems to be underway, the Dow was only off 0.3% last week. The Nasdaq declined 1.5%. The market dropped 242 points when it reopened on Monday, but it regained nearly half the loss on Tuesday and Wednesday.

    Our feeling is that investors want to be buyers and can only be held back by disturbing news. That's a big difference from a bear market mentality when bad news drives prices and good news is ignored.

    ...
  • Week of 08/21/2008

    In This Issue:

    Inflation Spike Seems Unlikely To Last
    The Dollar Rally Gathers Strength
    Russians In Georgia Have Investors Spooked
    The Outlook Is Good For U.S. Defense Companies
    In A Low Yield World, Dividends Shine
    The Bottom Line This Week

    The stock rally lost some ground last week which made many investors worry that the run may be coming to an end. That fear was justified since the main engine behind the rally -falling oil prices- continued to play their part. Even with oil moving down to the $112 range, the Dow fell 0.6% for the week.

    Small stocks moved in the opposite direction to their larger cousins as the Nasdaq posted a 1.6% advance. In its own way, the small stock upturn also made investors nervous. The bounce was another in a long list of confusing situations that are at work in the market today.

    ...