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  • Association for Investor Awareness - Week of 04/30/2009

    In This Issue:

    Signs Of A Better Economy? (Or At Least Not As Bad?)
    Stocks For A Weak Recovery
    The Bottom Line This Week


    Last month investors received another booster shot from Wall Street as the Dow and the Nasdaq rose an additional 1.2% and 5.5% respectively. The gains left stocks up 26% from the rally's jumping off point. With any luck, and a few encouraging numbers from the economy, the rally could continue for another few weeks.

    Lest anyone think the bear is finished, however, we must remind you that the market never moves in a straight line very long. Even if this is the start of a new bull market, we must expect to get some nasty shocks along the way. After such a strong rally, the first correction may be close at hand.

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  • Association for Investor Awareness - Week of 10/23/2008

    In This Issue:

    It's Too Early For A Sustained Rebound
    But, There Are Finally Some Signs Of Relief
    What Everybody Knows Is Often Wrong
    Another Contrary Economic Outlook
    Cheaper Energy: The World's Biggest "Tax" Cut
    This High Yield Investment Looks Good
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Mother Market took pity on investors last week when she tossed a few points our way. Actually, it was more than just a few. The total for Monday and Thursday came to a whopping 1338. Since she took back "only" 937 points, the Dow and the Nasdaq ended the period up a welcome 4.8% and 3.8% respectively.

    When the closing bell finally rang on Friday and the week's gains were locked safely away, some of us let out a happy little "hurray." However, our killjoy number cruncher pointed out that with so many wild swings happening every week it was inevitable that the market would occasionally end on a high point. In other words, the bounce could have just been a random event. Rats!

    On Monday of this week the market jumped another 413 points, but it gave back 746 points on the following two days. Oh well, the mini-rally was fun while it lasted.

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  • Week of 08/28/2008

    In This Issue:

    Tensions Between The U.S. And Russia Are Serious
    Oil And Commodities React To The Threat
    Defense Stocks Look Even Better Than Last Week
    And So Does The Dollar
    Inflation vs Deflation Contest Heats Up
    But Inflation Should End Up With The Gold
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Last week the stock market revealed that it has more underlying strength than world events would seem to justify. If the market is once again acting as a leading indicator of the future, the outlook is brighter than is generally supposed.

    Despite the fact that a new cold war seems to be underway, the Dow was only off 0.3% last week. The Nasdaq declined 1.5%. The market dropped 242 points when it reopened on Monday, but it regained nearly half the loss on Tuesday and Wednesday.

    Our feeling is that investors want to be buyers and can only be held back by disturbing news. That's a big difference from a bear market mentality when bad news drives prices and good news is ignored.

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  • Week of 08/14/2008

    In This Issue:

    Surprise! Oil Prices Can Plunge As Well As Soar
    Russia-Georgia Conflict Shows Oil Retreat Has Legs
    The Dollar Is Rebounding By Default
    We Know We've Said This Before, But "Buy The Bargains"
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Last week, the stock market continued to make the big swings that started several days earlier. This time, however, we were delighted to see that the pattern was skewed towards the positive. Thanks to a 332 point gain on Tuesday and another 303 point jump on Friday, the Dow and the Nasdaq ended the week up 3.6% and 4.5% respectively.

    Those were very nice numbers for a five day period, especially since poor economic news –and the Russian/Georgian war- continued to dominate the headlines. However, none of it could overcome the enthusiasm investors had for the recent plunge in oil prices that brought the magic $100 level within sight. If oil gets that low we will see rejoicing on both Wall Street and on Main Street. We might even raise a glass ourselves.

    Meanwhile, Mother Market is testing our resolve. After rising 49 points on Monday, stocks dropped 250 points through Wednesday. More gyrations are undoubtedly on the way.

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