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  • Association for Investor Awareness - Week of 02/26/2009

    In This Issue:

    The Federal Bailout Is A Mixed Bag
    Capitulation May Have Been Reached
    Some Blue Chip Stocks Will Win Blue Ribbons
    A Speculation Is Also Attractive
    Gold Regains Its Appeal, But There Are Problems
    An Economic Indicator That We Can Love
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Since our last newsletter on January 29, the stock market took a sharp turn for the worse. In fact, calling it a "turn" is an understatement. "Plunge" would better describe the 9.6% and 4.4% declines in the Dow and the Nasdaq. The slide left the market at a 12 year low.

    Curiously, the plunge isn't due to another panic. At this point in the long bear market, most investors are too tired to sprint for the exits. Instead, many of them are dropping their gear and are simply walking off the field.

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  • Association for Investor Awareness - Week of 10/16/2008

    The Biggest Danger Now Is A Series Of Bear Traps
    The Financial Crisis Has Further To Run
    Some Bear Market Investments Have Promise
    How Long The Bear Might Stick Around
    A Contrary Economic Outlook
    Another Shameless Plug For Blue Chip Stocks
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Stock volatility has become so extreme, we had to redraw the charts. Although there have been up and down days as large as those we have seen recently, never before have they come in such quick succession.

    Last week, as everyone from New Guinea to New York must know by now, the Dow and the Nasdaq fell 18.2% and 15.3% respectively. That would have been tough enough by itself, but what made the week even more hectic is it contained a 679 point jump that many investors believed was the start of a reversal. 

    The market leaped forward again this Monday with a breath taking 936 point surge when U.S and European leaders decided on a coordinated financial rescue plan. Stocks took a breather on Tuesday. Then it plunged 733 points the next day on poor consumer spending data. We must expect more whiplash days as the credit crisis continues to unfold. 

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  • Week of 10/02/2008

    In This Issue:

    A Nasty, But Not A Calamitous, Stock Plunge
    Our Contrary Opinion
    A Cure For The Crisis Is Already Being Applied
    It's Time To Do Some Cautious Buying
    Stock Buyers Should Sip, Not Gulp
    The Bottom Line This Week

    People who enjoy excitement must envy investors right now. Not even thrill seekers who travel to New Zealand for the world's highest bungee jump have anything on us. When it comes to big bounces, Wall Street is the place to be.

    On Monday of this week, we completed the jumping part of the stock market's bungee experience. The rebound on Tuesday was nearly as exhilarating. Wednesday, thank goodness, was a quiet day of recuperation.

    Of course the rubber cord could break at any time, in which case the game will be over. However, that seems very unlikely. If a crash was in the works, we think it would have happened on Monday when deep pessimism was rampant.

    The market action we are having now is all the more exciting because there was no hint of it last week. The Dow dropped a tepid 2.2% while the Nasdaq just about doubled it with a 4.0% decline. It was barely enough to be a good warm-up for this week's main event.

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