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  • Association of Investor Awareness - Week of 12/04/2008

    In This Issue

    Black Friday May Suggest A More Optimistic Outlook
    Most Insiders Are Not Selling
    Bear Market History: How We Compare
    Get Paid While You Wait
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Last week when everyone was stuffing themselves with turkey and other goodies, the urge to consume in abundance spilled over to Wall Street. By the time the market closed on Friday, the Dow and the Nasdaq were up an impressive 9.7% and 10.9% respectively. It was the first five day rally we've seen in over a year.

    The enthusiasm for stocks wasn't completely due to holiday cheer. Investors got wind of the fact that Black Friday sales were likely to be better than was first expected. As it turned out, instead of a miniscule 0.9% sales increase, Joe and Sally MidAmerica gave the retail industry a 3% boost. Shoppers were so eager to spend money, they trampled several people who got in their way, one of whom died.

    As we are sure you know by now, the enthusiasm didn't survive the weekend. The terrorist attack in Mumbai plus a dismal economic report sent the market down 680 points on Monday. Stocks recovered 442 points on Tuesday and Wednesday but the rebound seems unlikely to last very long.

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  • Association of Investor Awareness - Week of 10/16/2008

    The Biggest Danger Now Is A Series Of Bear Traps
    The Financial Crisis Has Further To Run
    Some Bear Market Investments Have Promise
    How Long The Bear Might Stick Around
    A Contrary Economic Outlook
    Another Shameless Plug For Blue Chip Stocks
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Stock volatility has become so extreme, we had to redraw the charts. Although there have been up and down days as large as those we have seen recently, never before have they come in such quick succession.

    Last week, as everyone from New Guinea to New York must know by now, the Dow and the Nasdaq fell 18.2% and 15.3% respectively. That would have been tough enough by itself, but what made the week even more hectic is it contained a 679 point jump that many investors believed was the start of a reversal. 

    The market leaped forward again this Monday with a breath taking 936 point surge when U.S and European leaders decided on a coordinated financial rescue plan. Stocks took a breather on Tuesday. Then it plunged 733 points the next day on poor consumer spending data. We must expect more whiplash days as the credit crisis continues to unfold. 

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