Blogs

  • Retail Prices at wholesale Prices – Next Hot Sector

    As we close out the first week of February, I’m writing to illustrate the types of great opportunities waiting for all of us. All the trades we share are based on our Momentum Reversal Method ( MRM ) trading system. There are two key components...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 02-06-2017
  • Can New President Make Things Better for the People?

    Where is this economic boom that Former President Obama and his administration had taken so much credit for? The Obama Administration, with the assistance of the Federal Reserve and Company, deliberately kept the U.S. economy from creating any growth...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 02-06-2017
  • Market Melt-up Brings Volatility to Metals

    Our recent analysis bases on a previous report of the potential for a further run in the US markets based on a number of technical and fundamental factors leads to the question of “what could happen with Gold and Silver”. A broad US market...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 01-31-2017
  • The New Gold Rush Of 2017!

    Gold to Regain Its Gleam! One question that gold investors are asking now is, will 2017 be as spectacular for the yellow metal as it was in 2016? The short and sweet answer to this is YES. The dollar, gold and the major U.S. stock exchanges will all see...
  • President Obama’s Legacy – Weaken America For Eight Years

    If you have read me for very long, you know a few things about my political leanings, which I don’t hesitate to espouse now and then. I’m a free-market conservative that believes in smaller government, balanced budgets and lower taxes, just...
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  • Yellen Cuts Off Currency Rally..

    In This Issue.

    * Full Employment? .

    * Chuck goes old school economics .

    * ECB meets today.

    * China sells more Treasuries! .

    ...
    Posted to Daily Pfennig by Chuck Butler on 01-19-2017
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  • Howard Marks on Expert Opinion

    In a week when I have once more gone out on the old limb, in last weekend’s Thoughts from the Frontline, to bring you my forecast for the new year, and when I’m also sharing with readers of my Over My Shoulder service the tea-leaf skryings of some of the boldest and brightest among my fellow economic prognosticators, I’m feeling a need to use today’s Outside the Box to redress the balance a bit.

    ...
    Posted to John Mauldin's Outside the Box by John Mauldin on 01-19-2017
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  • Forecasting with Friends

    In some ways, I think it’s just entertainment. You might compare our prognosticating to what happens with NFL football. For weeks before the Super Bowl, we devoted fans will spend hours speculating on the game’s every detail. We’ll dissect the rosters, talk about each team’s strengths and weaknesses, debate game plans, and so on. Is any of this ritual necessary or useful? No, but it extends the experience and we enjoy it.

    ...
    Posted to Thoughts From The Frontline by John Mauldin on 01-19-2017
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  • Small Business Optimism Soars to Highest Level Since 2004

    Small businesses and entrepreneurs have had a rough time of it for these past eight years. New startups and entrepreneurial activity have pretty much been stagnant, weighed down by heavy regulation, high taxes and an economy that’s just been stumbling along. Yet in November and again December, there were signs of optimism and business renewal that could mark a real turnaround in the fortunes of small business.

    The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) reported last week that its Small Business Optimism Index soared in December by the most in one month since 1980, a year when another maverick conservative-leaning candidate surprised everyone and won the presidency. His name was Ronald Reagan.

    Another report out last week found that small businesses are now in the best financial shape since before the Great Recession based on revenues, cash-flows and sales.

    While the economy is still far from healthy, we have seen more positive news since the election. Today we’ll look at these two latest reports on small businesses -- and what President Trump will, and will not, be able to do with regard to rolling back onerous regulations early-on in his administration.

    Finally, we’ll look at an Investor’s Business Daily editorial last week that blows out of the water the liberals’ scare tactics when it comes to repealing Obamacare.

    ...
    Posted to Forecasts & Trends by Gary D. Halbert on 01-19-2017
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  • Another Price Setup with Oil and Gas Stock

    One of the key tenants of my Momentum Reversal trading is “waiting for the right trigger/event and getting in early”. I find this is one of the most difficult aspects for most clients to understand and master. Therefore, in an attempt to further...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 01-18-2017
  • Massive VIX Warning for all Traders

    My analysis of the recent VIX action is clearly warning of a potentially massive price volatility increase in the US and global markets. Many traders use and trade the VIX as a measurement of volatility. The VIX is a measurement of the expected market...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 01-13-2017
  • Stocks and Commodities Going Up & Up

    Chris Vermeulen and his partner John Winston are very savvy traders and even they were taken by surprise by the stock market’s Trump rally. Especially by its strength and ferocity and he sees no immediate end in site. It could go on and on. But...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 01-13-2017
  • The Short-Term TOP & POP!

    Currently, it is still very early days and the dust has not yet settled, however, I will make a bold forecast that the SPX is still in a BULL UPTREND from 2009. There has been a paradigm shift in the U.S. after Trump’s election. The expected fiscal...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 12-07-2016
  • Special Details Regarding Stock Picking Process

    Nearly a month ago, my trading partner shared some details regarding his stock picking process and explained how this process will assist in achieving far superior returns; well, the proof is being delivered today. The reason I’m sharing this is...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 12-01-2016
  • Global Bonds In Worst Selloff In 13 Years - How Come?

    Bond investors have had a rough ride in November. The Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index plunged by 5% during the last two weeks just before and after the election – its worst such drop since March 2003, according to Dow Jones data. When yields rise, bond prices fall, and vice-versa.

    As you know, interest rates have been falling for over 35 years since peaking in 1980. It has been a spectacular bull market for bond investors, that is until just recently. To say that the reversal over the last few weeks came as a surprise to bondholders around the world is an understatement.

    More than $77 billion in assets are benchmarked to the Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index, according to Morningstar, making it one of the most widely followed in the fixed-income world. It incorporates investment-grade debt denominated in 24 different currencies. Sovereign bonds have historically been the Index’s most heavily-weighted constituent, followed by asset-backed securities, corporate bonds and government-related debt.

    Global bond yields have been edging up since falling to historic lows in late June/July following the UK’s vote to leave the European Union. But the selloff accelerated aggressively after Donald Trump won the US presidential election – an outcome that took most bond market participants around the world by surprise.

    The sharp selloff was predicated on the notion that Donald Trump’s campaign promises to rebuild America’s infrastructure, cut taxes and raise trade barriers, would – if they become reality – drive up inflation, and possibly force the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates much more aggressively than had been expected.

    In just the two days following Trump’s election, global bonds shed an estimated $1.1 trillion in value, the worst rout in a year and a half as investors sold bonds and bought stocks in many cases. The stampede out of bonds propelled US Treasury yields to their highest levels since January.

    ...
    Posted to Forecasts & Trends by Gary D. Halbert on 11-22-2016
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